Texas Fall 2022
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
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- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Such a sad time of the year when the triple-digit highs are gone. Looks like temps here in Houston reached the lower 70s this morning. I noticed the chill in the air and the north wind when I went out to pickup the paper off the driveway (yes, we still get one delivered).
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
wxman57 wrote:Such a sad time of the year when the triple-digit highs are gone. Looks like temps here in Houston reached the lower 70s this morning. I noticed the chill in the air and the north wind when I went out to pickup the paper off the driveway (yes, we still get one delivered).

We've had enough 100 temps this year - bring on fall!!
2 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2022
wxman57 wrote:Such a sad time of the year when the triple-digit highs are gone. Looks like temps here in Houston reached the lower 70s this morning. I noticed the chill in the air and the north wind when I went out to pickup the paper off the driveway (yes, we still get one delivered).
Hahaha, it's coming! Your wall will not hold.

1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
SoupBone wrote:wxman57 wrote:Such a sad time of the year when the triple-digit highs are gone. Looks like temps here in Houston reached the lower 70s this morning. I noticed the chill in the air and the north wind when I went out to pickup the paper off the driveway (yes, we still get one delivered).
Hahaha, it's coming! Your wall will not hold.
Yeah, I've heard that the Tonga Eruption may have factored in the exceptionally cold wave that caused snowfall in Brazil! This is the first winter where the full effects from the Tonga Eruption will be in place, with extremely warm subtropics, we may have more powerful Extratropical cyclones, but only time will tell if that is the case.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Sadly, I was supposed to get to 65 this morning, it never got below 71.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
SOI continues positive streak for September and the rainfall forecasts have reflected, blanks.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:SOI continues positive streak for September and the rainfall forecasts have reflected, blanks.
It appears to be a steady climb instead of spiking.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
KFOR is teasing us in the long range! But it seems legitimate because it's during the State Fair!

https://s5.gifyu.com/images/KFOR-Forecast.jpg


https://s5.gifyu.com/images/KFOR-Forecast.jpg
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Now KWTV-News 9 is starting to cave in with the State Fair Storms!

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-09-14-6.35.31-AM.png

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-09-14-6.35.31-AM.png
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2530
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2022
It often seems September gives us one last bout of summer more often than not. Heck, it's often still hot in Kansas until mid-September.
I'm not going to be upset unless October is hot. At least no 100s it appears.
I'm not going to be upset unless October is hot. At least no 100s it appears.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
2 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
Yep, the Cockroach Ridge is coming back . . .


0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
Hot weather in September is more tolerable when the Cowboys field a good team. So maybe next year.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022
gpsnowman wrote:Ntxw wrote:Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
Hot weather in September is more tolerable when the Cowboys field a good team. So maybe next year.
As long as Jerry Jones is there don’t expect much.
6 likes
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 703
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Some models have been decently consistent on a cold front around 180-240 hours out. Temperatures are still changing around but the coldest i've seen so far is the CMC
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
- Edwards Limestone
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
- Location: Smithson Valley, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.

3 likes
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Edwards Limestone wrote:Ntxw wrote:Ensembles are not pretty. Ridge centered over Southern Plains medium range. May not be until end of the month for relief if it comes.
Rainfall blanks. 2022 theme dry stretches far outlast wet ones.
https://external-preview.redd.it/s4sHPddoaoKr57wvfEIMoWwgvpMdzES9RzYT4NZQWr8.jpg?auto=webp&s=622b8dbfc9ca15e7517fb7aeaa82658abd5bd1f0
This sucks! Also came to find out that my water utility said there is a leak in the water pipe (raw water) for the system. They said to reduce pressure on the system while repairs are being made, all outdoor sprinkler systems and hose end sprinklers are banned until October 4th, when they expect it to be fixed. I only know about it through a website when I looked up a number for the city.
Not sure who else got the memo here(?). They haven't done any outreach except through the web that I know of. People still using sprinkler systems right now. I don't think everyone knows. Maybe cops will be going around checking yards to see who's in compliance(?).lol We are allowed to hand water though.
My yard still looks lush and green from the recent rains, but with this forecast, I may be out hand watering before long just to keep stuff alive.lol Usually September is 2nd wettest month. Not the last half. Perfect timing for a water system leak (sarcasm). Of course the leak/watering ban couldn't happen in the the last half of August with the daily rains.lol
I'll wait until the yard looks dire and thirsty. It got a nice drink last month from the heavens, so should be ok. But lower humidity and 90s dries things out pretty quickly.





Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Wed Sep 14, 2022 5:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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