ATL: FIONA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5465
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1001 Postby chaser1 » Sun Sep 18, 2022 10:45 pm

Small pin-hole eye becoming increasingly evident. My take on it's immediate motion is nearly "nill". Combination of a bit weaker steering and further deepening (970's?). I think we will soon see a bit of a NW lurch within the next couple hours as a result of the much deeper west side convection rotating around to the south and then its east quad.
0 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)

User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2728
Age: 35
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Houston TX

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1002 Postby skyline385 » Sun Sep 18, 2022 10:45 pm

982mb drop at 19 and NW from last fix (13).

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5465
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1003 Postby chaser1 » Sun Sep 18, 2022 10:51 pm

Any low pressure wagers prior to D.R. landfall? I think i'll go with 972 mb.
0 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5465
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1004 Postby chaser1 » Sun Sep 18, 2022 10:53 pm

(Just once, i'd love to see the Bing bot or Google adsence bot chime in :ggreen: )
4 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1005 Postby Hammy » Sun Sep 18, 2022 11:03 pm

chaser1 wrote:Small pin-hole eye becoming increasingly evident. My take on it's immediate motion is nearly "nill". Combination of a bit weaker steering and further deepening (970's?). I think we will soon see a bit of a NW lurch within the next couple hours as a result of the much deeper west side convection rotating around to the south and then its east quad.


How long's the plane out there? This might've been the last pass until landfall.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1006 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Sep 18, 2022 11:05 pm

chaser1 wrote:Small pin-hole eye becoming increasingly evident. My take on it's immediate motion is nearly "nill". Combination of a bit weaker steering and further deepening (970's?). I think we will soon see a bit of a NW lurch within the next couple hours as a result of the much deeper west side convection rotating around to the south and then its east quad.

Not sure I agree on the pinhole eye, it looks to be about 15 miles wide on radar, but the rest I agree with. The last 45 min or so it looks entirely stationary to me. Wobble watching at its finest
1 likes   

Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 644
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1007 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sun Sep 18, 2022 11:07 pm

Video update on Hurricane Fiona for the night owls
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JiU3InWLHjI
0 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1008 Postby aspen » Sun Sep 18, 2022 11:10 pm

Hammy wrote:
chaser1 wrote:Small pin-hole eye becoming increasingly evident. My take on it's immediate motion is nearly "nill". Combination of a bit weaker steering and further deepening (970's?). I think we will soon see a bit of a NW lurch within the next couple hours as a result of the much deeper west side convection rotating around to the south and then its east quad.


How long's the plane out there? This might've been the last pass until landfall.

Looks like they’re getting ready for another pass. This will probably be their last of the mission.
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3206
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1009 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:01 am

Eye clearing out?
Image
2 likes   

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9155
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1010 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:14 am

Image
Even if it is going to turn northwestward I suspect that the DR will have a far larger impact on intensity then Puerto rico did and be inland probably for at least 12 hours.
2 likes   

User avatar
canebeard
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 98
Joined: Sun Jul 05, 2009 4:06 pm
Contact:

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1011 Postby canebeard » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:20 am

chaser1 wrote:Any low pressure wagers prior to D.R. landfall? I think i'll go with 972 mb.


Santa Domingo 967== corner shot, off the backboard
Last edited by canebeard on Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm
former storm2k screenname Beoumont 2009+

Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 644
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1012 Postby Hurricane Mike » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:21 am

I can't believe this is moving at 10 mph. It seems as though it's almost stationary.
1 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1013 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:25 am

Eye drop 980/8, supports 979-980, continues to gradually fall
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3206
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1014 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:29 am

2 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1015 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:30 am

With landfall farther south in the Dominican Republic, it could also throw off the future forecast. It will likely spend more time over land and have more time to weaken, especially if it interacts with the tall mountains. A weaker Fiona would likely go farther west for a while too.
0 likes   

User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2728
Age: 35
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Houston TX

ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1016 Postby skyline385 » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:37 am

980mb on the last drop, looks like it has also completed its turn and will end up landfalling close to or south of Cap Cana

Image

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1017 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:50 am

Hurricane Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
200 AM AST Mon Sep 19 2022

...EYE OF FIONA APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR
PUNTA CANA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH
OF PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 68.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM S OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

sikkar
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 326
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:44 am
Location: Florida

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1018 Postby sikkar » Mon Sep 19, 2022 1:02 am

Man the amount of rain being dumped on PR is freaking absurd, I fear for what the daylight gonna bring.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2728
Age: 35
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Houston TX

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1019 Postby skyline385 » Mon Sep 19, 2022 1:05 am

Josh already measuring 992mb on Punta Cana

 https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1571739365856124929





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
1 likes   

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9155
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1020 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Sep 19, 2022 1:08 am

Image
8 likes   


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests