Tropical wave east of the Windward Islands (Is Invest 98L)

[Blown Away]

Lots of convection with the TW. Low enough to go west for a while, but based on the season so far it's going to get tugged N at some point.

[AJC3]

Easy with the meme's please. We've gone from small funny images to full page nonsense. Thanks.

Gang,

We're at the point now where too many memes are being posted and it's become an OT distraction. Mark posted the gentle reminder above yesterday and it seems as though it's fallen on deaf ears for a few folks. We don't like to have to do this, but we're taking down meme posts when they start cluttering up a thread.

Dial it back to a minimum. Thanks.

[skillz305]

Not liking the models for this storm whatsoever. Central Florida here.

[Stormcenter]

Past history tells me this is not going to the Florida west coast. If I lived anywhere on the northern GOM
coastline I’d be concerned…..central
LA. eastward toward FL. panhandle.

[AutoPenalti]

So this is apparently poised to move NW by Thursday as it pushes off South America and begins to consolidate and intensify. We'll see.

[us89]

98L INVEST 220920 1200 10.3N 53.0W ATL 25 1011

[InfernoFlameCat]

This wave is looking remarkably good.

[AJC3]

INVEST 98L is up.

[wxman57]

Unfortunately, this disturbance could be trouble for the eastern Gulf (Florida) in 8-9 days. Definitely not Charley, as this could be larger. I'm not so confident where it will really go yet. If it's slower to develop and weaker, it may crash into Central America. That's the best we could hope for. I think it'll most likely become a depression next Sun/Mon as it passes south of Jamaica. Look for NHC probabilities to steadily climb as that development point falls within 5 days and if models don't change. If I lived anywhere in Florida or on the northern Gulf Coast, I'd check my hurricane supplies now before the panic starts.

You consider Houston on the northern gulf coast?

Not the northern Gulf Coast I'm referring to. I'm saying east of Mobile, AL. That northern Gulf Coast. I don't see this as a Houston threat.