#97 Postby LarryWx » Tue Sep 20, 2022 2:12 pm
The 12Z UKMET at 144 hours is ~200 miles S of the 12Z Euro 144 position, which puts it ~100-150 miles NE of Honduras moving NW. The UKMET is often on the left side of the model consensus mean:
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.9N 76.4W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.09.2022 120 14.2N 77.4W 1004 26
0000UTC 26.09.2022 132 14.6N 79.0W 1003 27
1200UTC 26.09.2022 144 15.6N 80.6W 1002 31
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.