Model run continuity has been interesting to watch.
Regardless and for now at least..... 98L remains a ModelCane.
ATL: IAN - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
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Andy D
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skyline385
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
The ridge looks much more stout than on previous runs. It extends all the way into Georgia.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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skyline385
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
There's the opening again, going to be pretty much the same as 18Z
Last edited by skyline385 on Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
This is even further west lol.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS 7 run trend valid 18z 9/29. Scary look for the northern GOM.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS looks identical to the 18Z through about 130 hours (maybe a hair slower/farther east) but much stronger. Looks like it's still trending west after that point so far.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
PTrackerLA wrote:GFS 7 run trend valid 18z 9/29. Scary look for the northern GOM.
https://i.imgur.com/94LLSOh.gif
Way too close for comfort here in Houston. I hate runs like this where it reaches the central GOM and everyone is waiting and watching to see when it makes a turn.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
The GFS really likes to slow it way down once it gets into the gulf.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
0z CMC Shifted to the right, now goes over Jamaica and Western Cuba.
Last edited by BobHarlem on Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
CMC big shift NE.
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Keldeo1997
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hurricane2025
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Really hoping these eastward shifts stop. Louisiana's had enough of these storms.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
PTrackerLA wrote:GFS 7 run trend valid 18z 9/29. Scary look for the northern GOM.
https://i.imgur.com/94LLSOh.gif
This would be what, like the 5th major hurricane to approach LA in two years? Laura, Delta, Zeta, Ida, and this?
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS looks like it wants to pull an Ida again, right off the coast of Terrebonne Parish.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Pelicane wrote:Really hoping these eastward shifts stop. Louisiana's had enough of these storms.
You mean west..?
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Stormcenter
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
I was afraid the westward trend would continue. There
is still a lot of time for this to change of course.
is still a lot of time for this to change of course.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
At this rate the GFS is going to have 98L hitting Brownsville by the 0z run tommorow night. Right now it is the western outlier but I do find it odd that the usual east bias from the GFS isn't appearing.
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