Don't know how many know....Tampa has a "myth" that says Tampa doesn't get many hurricanes. That they go away from it.
Further, Sarasota claims it is PROTECTED from hurricanes - for some unknown (to me) reason.
I guess we're about to see....
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AxaltaRacing24 wrote:cycloneye wrote:https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/1573441399038660614
This is why the GFS is further west than the Euro, which is rare. I believe that the same bias it showed with storms like IRMA could be at play here. The GFS progresses troughs much quicker than the Euro does, but in this case, that results in the system being "left behind," which untimely results in a much more western outcome. Same biases are in play with both models as usual it seems.
Abdullah wrote:
Daaaang that's crazy
Do any other models have this feature?
tolakram wrote:GFS won't correct until it figures out the 500mb pattern. Right now it sees 9 left behind and crawling north. Pretty much same as last run, a tad left, but for this far our hardly any significant change from the 12Z in my opinion.
Michele B wrote:
Don't know how many know....Tampa has a "myth" that says Tampa doesn't get many hurricanes. That they go away from it.
Further, Sarasota claims it is PROTECTED from hurricanes - for some unknown (to me) reason.
I guess we're about to see....
Michele B wrote:
Don't know how many know....Tampa has a "myth" that says Tampa doesn't get many hurricanes. That they go away from it.
Further, Sarasota claims it is PROTECTED from hurricanes - for some unknown (to me) reason.
I guess we're about to see....
Keldeo1997 wrote:https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1022688973581201488/1023013203573223445/unknown.png
I'm not liking how the HWRF is trying to from a Pinhole here
aspen wrote:Keldeo1997 wrote:https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1022688973581201488/1023013203573223445/unknown.png
I'm not liking how the HWRF is trying to from a Pinhole here
Look at all those bands, though. The HWRF is slow to intensify Ian because it has a very messy structure with so many competing bands and difficulty getting a solid eyewall. If this verifies, Ian may not bomb out into a Cat 4+ as many have feared.
caneman wrote:hurricaneCW wrote:I don't buy the GFS. Its had a west bias all season.
Until the Euro makes a big move I ain't buying it.
There isn't a big move coming from South to North. It's a minimal longitude move from Ft. Myers to Tampa when traversing that way. Trust me, I know. I was in the path of Charley until a minimal jog occured
johngaltfla wrote:Michele B wrote:
Don't know how many know....Tampa has a "myth" that says Tampa doesn't get many hurricanes. That they go away from it.
Further, Sarasota claims it is PROTECTED from hurricanes - for some unknown (to me) reason.
I guess we're about to see....
The Sarasota "theory" relates to the burial mounds of a power Indian chieftain and his tribe.
As long as it is undisturbed, we should be immune.
However, Donna and Irma would like to chime in.
ronjon wrote:caneman wrote:hurricaneCW wrote:I don't buy the GFS. Its had a west bias all season.
Until the Euro makes a big move I ain't buying it.
There isn't a big move coming from South to North. It's a minimal longitude move from Ft. Myers to Tampa when traversing that way. Trust me, I know. I was in the path of Charley until a minimal jog occured
I hear ya brother. Watched and bit my nails with Charlie and Irma but the magical tampa deflector shield popped up at the last minute.
OuterBanker wrote:Is Wxman leaning toward GFS or Euro?
Abdullah wrote:18Z HWRF is trending slower and farther east
Tropical Tidbits- owned and operated by Levi CowanAbdullah wrote:A few months back I saw this website (I'm pretty sure from this forum somewhere) that showed a list of all the model runs and their specific times along with whether they'd started, were initializing, and so on and so forth. It was just a white background, times new roman font text, and was very expansive. Does anyone on here know of this website?
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