ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2301 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:38 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:Noticing a lot of traffic jams starting to pile up in the Tampa area particularly on I-4 eastbound.


I can promise you that's not related to the hurricane. I-4 east near Celebration always clogs every single day.


What is unusual is that it's occurring at 2 PM EDT instead of the normal rush hour times


Maybe because schools are closed today. But yah it’s a traffic haven always.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2302 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:39 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:Noticing a lot of traffic jams starting to pile up in the Tampa area particularly on I-4 eastbound.


I can promise you that's not related to the hurricane. I-4 east near Celebration always clogs every single day.


Freaking Champions Gate, in traffic right here now as well
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2303 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:39 pm

Does anyone have the steering maps handy and/or can post a link to find them? Thanks!! (Had posted this in models thread accidentally)
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2304 Postby HeeBGBz » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:40 pm

bohai wrote:So if we get a stall offshore Tampa area due to the trough not picking it up and leaving it sitting there with no steering, what are successive days showing? I remember Elena (was living in Mobile at the time) was making a beeline towards Mobile, turned and headed toward Cedar Kay FL, then reversed and paralleled the Gulf Coast and finally made landfall on the Mississippi Gulf coast.


I was at Ft. Gorden in '85. When I saw Elena head towards Florida I took a pass back to Biloxi. Darned if it turned around on me. I ended up AWOL because I couldn't get back to GA.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2305 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:40 pm

StormPyrate wrote:Pinellas mandatory evac for Zone A at 6, tomorrow morning for zones B and C


Hillsborough started already. Pinellas is one day beyond on Hillsborough . Including letting teachers out and shutting down schools
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2306 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:40 pm

Looks like two high-helicity hot towers firing side-by-side.
I think this is about the time the models were predicting a high-probability for RI.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2307 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:41 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Does anyone have the steering maps handy and/or can post a link to find them? Thanks!! (Had posted this in models thread accidentally)



Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2308 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:42 pm

GCANE wrote:Looks like two high-helicity hot towers firing side-by-side.
I think this is about the time the models were predicting a high-probability for RI.


Hey there you are. Been waiting for your CAPE analysis.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2309 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:42 pm

High rain rate with these two towers. Close to being off scale.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2310 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:42 pm

GCANE wrote:High rain rate with these two towers. Close to being off scale.


Like how high? 3-5 inches per hour?
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2311 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:43 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
GCANE wrote:Looks like two high-helicity hot towers firing side-by-side.
I think this is about the time the models were predicting a high-probability for RI.


Hey there you are. Been waiting for your CAPE analysis.


A big pool of 4500 CAPE just west of Tampa.
We'll see how it holds up.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2312 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:43 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2313 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:45 pm

It’s going to be a long wet week statewide

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2314 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:46 pm

When is the next low-level recon?
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2315 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:49 pm

Picking up a strong in feed of high TPW air from the EPAC across Panama.
This is about the widest infeed across Panama that I have seen from any Carib TC.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2316 Postby DestinHurricane » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:49 pm

IR presentation classic of a RIing cane
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2317 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:51 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
GCANE wrote:High rain rate with these two towers. Close to being off scale.


Like how high? 3-5 inches per hour?


Its a GOES derived product. It doesn't have an absolute scale, just relative.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2318 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:52 pm

GCANE wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
GCANE wrote:High rain rate with these two towers. Close to being off scale.


Like how high? 3-5 inches per hour?


Its a GOES derived product. It doesn't have an absolute scale, just relative.


Speaking of that, another insanely high tower just blew up just to the NNW of the circulation.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2319 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:53 pm

The east tower is really going to town.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2320 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Sep 26, 2022 2:00 pm

Kinda crazy how NHC's forecast doesn't even really a show a blip in the intensity from going over western Cuba (or maybe that's the only reason they don't bring it higher than 120kt :eek: ). I have to imagine it would at least pause the RI for the duration.
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