ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cheezyWXguy]

Eye is becoming visible in the ne portion of the cdo. This attempt at clearing should be successful

[Ed_2001]

Looking at IR, is it just me, or did Ian take a big jog to the west?

Looks like it’s only convections blowing up in the westward direction creating an illusion.

[Orlando]

I am so happy to see that the gang is all here! Thank you for helping us all to make informed decisions about what to do to take care of ourselves during this uncertain time.

[skillz305]

I am so happy to see that the gang is all here! Thank you for helping us all to make informed decisions about what to do to take care of ourselves during this uncertain time.

Facts. Thanks to all the pro Mets in here who give clearance to lots of things (and others as well who are very knowledgeable)

[LarryWx]

12Z EPS mean not surprisingly east of 6Z and similar to 0Z with a mean track near Tampa.

[Aric Dunn]

radar and sat def show WNW to NW short term motion while it has been deepening( normal cyclonic loops). NW/NNW show resume though. looks like it will pass west of the forecast point and probably just go over the very tip of Cuba. Pretty flat and narrow. wont cause much of any issues for it.

[Teban54]

[Hurricane Mike]

 https://twitter.com/IPRTropicUpdate/status/1574483673398878213

[ScottNAtlanta]

https://twitter.com/IPRTropicUpdate/status/1574483673398878213/photo/1

Lilly also fell apart as it headed north into the GOM following Isidore's cold wake right before landfall (it was a cat 4 before that)

[skyline385]

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[robbielyn]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

[p1nheadlarry]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

Basically means if you don't evacuate emergency personnel are not going to put their lives in danger to help you when it hits the fan

[aspen]

I’m starting to become skeptical this surpasses Cat 2 intensity. Its current structure is just all over the place. First it had a regular eyewall, then it broke, then it became big, then a smaller one formed. I can’t tell where the center are true dominant eyewall are supposed to be on visible. This extremely complicated and fluctuating structure should prevent much more intensification until it eventually settles down, if it ever does.

Edit: didn’t see the microwave pass before.

[KC7NEC]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

If evacuations are ordered for 9 am I would leave by 9 pm tonight.

[p1nheadlarry]

I’m starting to become skeptical this surpasses Cat 2 intensity. Its current structure is just all over the place. First it had a regular eyewall, then it broke, then it became big, then a smaller one formed. I can’t tell where the center are true dominant eyewall are supposed to be on visible. This extremely complicated and fluctuating structure should prevent much more intensification until it eventually settles down, if it ever does.

I don't think it's that far off from intensifying tbh, environment still favorable after Cuba landfall

[Grumpy]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

The longer you wait, the harder it will be to get out, from traffic, gas availability and hotel availability.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I’m starting to become skeptical this surpasses Cat 2 intensity. Its current structure is just all over the place. First it had a regular eyewall, then it broke, then it became big, then a smaller one formed. I can’t tell where the center are true dominant eyewall are supposed to be on visible. This extremely complicated and fluctuating structure should prevent much more intensification until it eventually settles down, if it ever does.

Edit: didn’t see the microwave pass before.

Just part of the organization process and is on track. It has made remarkable improvements in the last 24 hours that quickly propelled it to nearly Cat 2 status.

[skyline385]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

Should be leaving early, you don’t want to be stuck on the road with no gas


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[mantis83]

I’m starting to become skeptical this surpasses Cat 2 intensity. Its current structure is just all over the place. First it had a regular eyewall, then it broke, then it became big, then a smaller one formed. I can’t tell where the center are true dominant eyewall are supposed to be on visible. This extremely complicated and fluctuating structure should prevent much more intensification until it eventually settles down, if it ever does.

Edit: didn’t see the microwave pass before.

you could be on to something. nhc disagrees, we'll see who is right....

[robbielyn]

Hey i’m 50 miles north of tampa near coast with mandatory evac effective 9am tomorrow. does that mean i have to leave by 9 or can i wait longer as long as it’s not too late. like afternoon sometime. i’m not sure how the law applies

Basically means if you don't evacuate emergency personnel are not going to put their lives in danger to help you when it hits the fan

I won’t wait till it’s too late. my friend telling me i need to leave at 9 and there will be no weather yet so i’m like wait a few hours. i will obey the law but not sure if i hv to leave at 9