ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3741 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 27, 2022 5:57 pm

Looks like northern burbs of Miami will take a hit
1 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9290
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3742 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Sep 27, 2022 5:58 pm

All toll roads in Central and Southern Florida are temporarily free of charge, spotted it from a FLDOT Camera.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9290
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3743 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Sep 27, 2022 5:59 pm

GCANE wrote:Looks like northern burbs of Miami will take a hit


Where? I'm trying to find the mesocyclone through FL511
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Michele B
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1114
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2016 8:08 am
Location: SWFL

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3744 Postby Michele B » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:03 pm

LandoWill wrote:
wxman57 wrote:New TVCN likes my track into Port Charlotte. Bad news for that area, as Ian could produce a 14-17 ft surge into Ft. Myers. Possibly as high as 20ft. Nothing but rain in Tampa.

They gonna close the post office and schools here all week for a summer thunderstorm event SMH.. i get it the evacs, things looked bad.But, come on closing down businesses and schools for the whole week, when its just a rain event?


WIthout knowing precise landfall location, it's necessary.

Also, power will be out. Schools/businesses won't be fun places with no electricity.
4 likes   
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3745 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:04 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
GCANE wrote:Looks like northern burbs of Miami will take a hit


Where? I'm trying to find the mesocyclone through FL511


Cell with a hook is still offshore.
Will likely tighten up when it hits land.
2 likes   

Michele B
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1114
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2016 8:08 am
Location: SWFL

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3746 Postby Michele B » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:05 pm

Sanibel wrote:The car is at the airport concrete garage and safe from surge...Now I am back on Sanibel to do final preparations and get the SUV to the same concrete parking garage...


Traffic was heavy off the island in the evacuation direction but moving at the speed limit...Sanibel is a ghost town with no cars on the streets and many buildings boarded up...Heavy rain but no wind yet...


Plans are clickin and going smooth...


Were you present in Charley? If I remember correctly, Sanibel Island became TWO islands! The water intrusion created a channel that ended up splitting the island into two separate land masses.

Crazy stuff!
4 likes   
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3747 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:06 pm

Damn big tower firing off western quad
2 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3748 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:06 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Hey everybody, friendly moderator moment here. Remember that things are quickly ramping up and will be getting very interesting in the hours ahead.

We’ve got a lot of guests looking in (and we’d love for all of you to join us!), and many are under significant stress as they make decisions about themselves, their families and loved ones, and their property.

Remember our rules, stay civil, stay on topic in the various threads, support your ideas with information and sourcing, and if you are in harm’s way, listen carefully to local, state, and national officials as you make decisions.

And as always, remember “The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.”


Just observing right now, there are 50 guests looking in.

Please consider joining us here at Storm2K, we talk and discuss weather all year long, even when there isn’t a storm brewing!
10 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3749 Postby SFLcane » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:06 pm

Wow huge wind field!
2 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3750 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:11 pm

New tornado warning, approaching Naples
1 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3751 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:13 pm

Cell with hook falling apart. Miami looks to have dodged a bullet.
3 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9290
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3752 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:13 pm

GCANE wrote:New tornado warning, approaching Naples

Watching it from a FL511 camera, it's at MM98 at Alligator Alley.
2 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3753 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:14 pm

Michele B wrote:
Sanibel wrote:The car is at the airport concrete garage and safe from surge...Now I am back on Sanibel to do final preparations and get the SUV to the same concrete parking garage...


Traffic was heavy off the island in the evacuation direction but moving at the speed limit...Sanibel is a ghost town with no cars on the streets and many buildings boarded up...Heavy rain but no wind yet...


Plans are clickin and going smooth...


Were you present in Charley? If I remember correctly, Sanibel Island became TWO islands! The water intrusion created a channel that ended up splitting the island into two separate land masses.

Crazy stuff!


it was Captiva (basically the same)
2 likes   
Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 42
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3754 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:14 pm

No NE-SW pass? They've gone up in altitude as well it looks like and the AF plane seems to have turned around almost immediately after leaving.

Image
1 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2420
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3755 Postby galaxy401 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:14 pm

That HWRF model run was a complete nightmare....The EWRC could delay it bombing out so that when it does, it's closer to Florida...
Last edited by galaxy401 on Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
3 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1576
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3756 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:14 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:I'm expecting 98L (soon Hermine\Ian) to be the strongest storm of the season. It will have winds of 155 kt and pressure sub-915 mbar. it will also hit a region close to where Michael '18 made landfall.
:grrr: :craz:

Aged like milk
12 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8820
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3757 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:16 pm

Hammy wrote:No NE-SW pass? They've gone up in altitude as well it looks like and the AF plane seems to have turned around almost immediately after leaving.

https://i.imgur.com/uHYSipj.png

No, they’re still at ~1000 gpm. I was thinking there might be a search-and-rescue like what happened in Lorenzo, but now they’re over land.

Recon sure is going swell tonight.
2 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

skillz305
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 280
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:10 am
Location: Miami, Florida --> Vero Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3758 Postby skillz305 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:20 pm

I'm in Indian River County. How could we not be under a Hurricane Watch or Warning? Is Ian really supposed to lose that much strength by the time it crosses? Because according to the models it seems to track pretty close to Indian River County on the east coast. Add in being on the "dirty" side of the storm as well.
1 likes   
:flag:Hurricanes: Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Katrina 2005 - Wilma 2005 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9290
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3759 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:21 pm

It appears that the NOAA2 Recon plane landed in Miami, what happened?
3 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

SconnieCane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1000
Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:29 pm
Location: Madison, WI

Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3760 Postby SconnieCane » Tue Sep 27, 2022 6:21 pm

Looks (on radar, at least) like the remaining/northern piece of the old inner eyewall might "meld" with the outer eyewall.
2 likes   


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest