ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Weatherboy1]

I expected Ian to be strong near landfall, but not THIS strong. Borderline Cat 5? Yeesh. Confident we won’t get a DIRECT hit now here in Jupiter’s but very worried about those on the SW Florida coast. We lost power for 15-20 minutes already once in the middle of the night, and rain has been coming down in buckets with bands. Tornado warnings popping up on and off here on the east coast/interior all night as well.

[Teban54]

It's always possible that the strengthening phase is done... Looks like it's getting pretty close to the coast on radar...

This from 4 hours ago aged like milk.

[Iceresistance]

AF301 is staging for another pass.

[skyline385]

[weeniepatrol]

It's always possible that the strengthening phase is done... Looks like it's getting pretty close to the coast on radar...

This from 4 hours ago aged like milk.

To be fair... no one could have anticipated anything quite like this

[RevanTheJedi96]

It's always possible that the strengthening phase is done... Looks like it's getting pretty close to the coast on radar...

This from 4 hours ago aged like milk.

I'm not sure what that poster was thinking. Ian is in boiling hot water with great conditions around it.

[Iceresistance]

It's always possible that the strengthening phase is done... Looks like it's getting pretty close to the coast on radar...

This from 4 hours ago aged like milk.

To be fair... no one could have anticipated anything quite like this

Yeah, I do admit that I did not see this coming at all.

[SecondBreakfast]

Woke up with that sick feeling I had while watching Matthew.

[aspen]

AF301 is staging for another pass.

That should be enough to upgrade Ian to a 5…although ~160 kt FL wind and multiple >137 kt SFMR readings should already be enough.

[Stormgodess]

Let’s have a small unofficial poll, do you think Ian will become a category five initially, or do you think it will become one in the postseason analysis

I don't know but this is a sticking point with me. I respect everyone here and respect the guys that have devoted their lives to this. I understand data is king. But why shouldn't they go ahead and call a CAT 5, wake people the heck up and and get as many people out of there as possible? I know no one willing to try and ride that out. I understand a 4 is also catastrophic, but for the every day person these are just numbers. They were told just two days ago to expect a CAT 2. I guess what I'm trying to say is practice should be to err on the side of over predicting than under predicting. Just my opinion though, and I know nothing

[Texas Snowman]

Just waking up. And I’m speechless.

Sobering day ahead…

[Iceresistance]

AF301 is staging for another pass.

That should be enough to upgrade Ian to a 5…although ~160 kt FL wind and multiple >137 kt SFMR readings should already be enough.

It's currently moving south to set up the pass from either West to East or SW to NE.

[birdwomn]

So the NW quadrant is the the strongest, beautiful job by the Euro persistent for days that it was going to be the strongest at landfall.

Euro did a really good job with Ian all things considered. Much better than the GFS.

Yep, and Tampa peeps better pay attention!!! The 6z has it passing thru Tampa now

The rule from back in the days of hurricane tracking maps still holds true - never relax your guard until the storm has passed your latitude, then do so with caution - sometimes they make loops.

[Keldeo1997]

[pgoss11]

I can’t believe what I just woke up to. An alarming situation. Thinking of all my Storm2k peeps. Stay safe..

[Iceresistance]

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/1024640404433408050/20220928_191500.jpg

What is it? I can't see it

[SecondBreakfast]

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/1024640404433408050/20220928_191500.jpg

What is this figure? I’m unfamiliar…

[kevin]

Kinda reminds me of Michael in the sense that every time I was like 'no way it can get worse than it is now' and sure enough it just kept getting worse all the way up to landfall. Prayers to everyone in the storm's path, this is unfortunately gonna be one that will be remembered for a long time.

[Jelmergraaff]

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/1024640404433408050/20220928_191500.jpg

What is this figure? I’m unfamiliar…

Lightning strikes.

[Keldeo1997]

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/1024640404433408050/20220928_191500.jpg

What is it? I can't see it

Insane Eyewall lightning