ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- InfernoFlameCat
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
It only takes one. Remember that. I am scared for those people who chose not to evacuate.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Certainly not mincing words, even the typo feels panicked
https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1575086765517537280

https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1575086765517537280
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Beef Stew wrote:gailwarning wrote:Beef Stew wrote:That eye is clearing out fast- and if it’s anything like the HWRF is suggesting, it’s going to be be quite noticeable in the next few hours.
Stop being interesting, you guys! I've gotta get some sleep!
Right, it really isn’t fair that these storms always seem to get their acts together on weeknights… I’m about to have to call it a night as well.
I’ll never forget Michael- stayed up for the 2 AM advisory where it got bumped up to 130 mph, and when I woke up a few hours later we had a 145 mph storm pushing 150 and somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 mbar lower. While that was a different situation and I don’t think Ian will pull a Michael… let’s just say going to bed on intensifying storms makes me a little nervous for what I’ll wake up to.
I shouldn’t have said it. I really shouldn’t have said it.
Been catching up on this for the past hour- absolutely floored. This is the most clear cut case of a category 5 storm we’ve seen since Dorian. I suppose the NHC is waiting to see if this is sustained for a longer period of time before pulling the trigger. Even if Ian weakens some before landfall the damage is more or less done- this is going to be a massive impact. And parts of central Florida are going to see winds that they haven’t in a long, long time.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Radar image is unreal now. Its such a thick and dense eyewall now. Holy ...
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I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
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Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
- Category5Kaiju
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Remember how we kept saying how West Florida has been so lucky they haven’t really gotten hit by a major hurricane since Charley?
Ian will change that forever.
Ian will change that forever.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
USAF HH in the eye right this moment, should have some crucial data in about ten minutes...
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Haven't posted here in a while, but been absolutely captivated by Ian. This is a good example of how models are the best guidance we have still in the long and medium term, but even just small shifts can change so much. Particularly interesting to see how the trough that was thought to be the guillotine for the storm, is instead aiding heavily in the impressive outflow pattern.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
dukeblue219 wrote:USAF HH in the eye right this moment, should have some crucial data in about ten minutes...
Already finding 120 FL at 976 mbar. It’s likely in the low 930s by now.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Radar presentation is so good right now. I am sure they find Cat 5. Can anyone post a radar loop please?
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I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
I think the only thing that can weaken Ian at this point is upwelling do to him moving so slowly.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

EDITED - radar frame was not accurate.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:18 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
What’s the highest elevation on Sanibel? Can the island be completely over washed? I see that is forecast to happen to Pine Island.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
I'm wishing all of you the best, be safe, get to safety....I don't know what else to say....
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Any idea when metro SE is suppose to expect TS winds now? This thing stalled a little earlier than forecast.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
TallyTracker wrote:What’s the highest elevation on Sanibel? Can the island be completely over washed? I see that is forecast to happen to Pine Island.
I thought someone said 10 feet yesterday.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:Any idea when metro SE is suppose to expect TS winds now? This thing stalled a little earlier than forecast.
Not sure if there ever will be TS winds here. Ian definitely moved more north than NE overnight. The center is about 140 miles away or so it will be very close.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Radar presentation is so good right now. I am sure they find Cat 5. Can anyone post a radar loop please?


Last edited by fendie on Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
New recon pass (SW quadrant to the eye): 135 kt FL winds. Almost all SFMR during the eyewall is flagged (peaked at 138 kt SFMR), highest unflagged value is 114 kt.
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