ATL: TWELVE - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
2pm TWO is at 80/80 and states that advisories will probably be initialized sometime later today/tonight. There’s a chance this becomes Julia and 91L becomes Karl.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
MarioProtVI
- Category 4
- Posts: 932
- Age: 23
- Joined: Sun Sep 29, 2019 7:33 pm
- Location: New Jersey
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 8903
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
-
ElectricStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 5017
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
- Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Forecast to become Julia but overall looks like this will be similar to TD11. Weak/short lived system
0 likes
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
Boomer Sooner!
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Yet another short-lived and weak system in the far eastern MDR. Let’s see if this can grab a name unlike TD11.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22950
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Yep, another shorty. May become Julia tomorrow, briefly.
0 likes
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It's trying its hardest to get named. The 00z BT still shows it as a TD.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
-
MarioProtVI
- Category 4
- Posts: 932
- Age: 23
- Joined: Sun Sep 29, 2019 7:33 pm
- Location: New Jersey
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Now no longer expected to become Julia. That’s two TD busts in a row that were expected to become Julia. Interestingly they mention the possible regen chances but with its current state it’s gonna die out before it even gets there.
0 likes
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Let's not forget that having a tropical cyclone in the eastern MDR in October is an anomaly to begin with.
0 likes
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
ASCAT with the clean miss again, much like TD11. 
ASCAT seems to be whiffing on all the shorty candidates this year, missing TD10/Hermine (which was upgraded on Dvorak), TD11, and now TD12. It also missed 95L in early September as well until it was too sheared to be designated a TC. We definitely need some more scatterometers up there, especially since ASCAT-A was decomissioned last year.
ASCAT seems to be whiffing on all the shorty candidates this year, missing TD10/Hermine (which was upgraded on Dvorak), TD11, and now TD12. It also missed 95L in early September as well until it was too sheared to be designated a TC. We definitely need some more scatterometers up there, especially since ASCAT-A was decomissioned last year.
4 likes
-
Category5Kaiju
- Category 5
- Posts: 4051
- Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
- Location: Seattle
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
At least based on visible satellite, this thing is really trying to get a name, even if briefly
0 likes
Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 8903
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
-
Category5Kaiju
- Category 5
- Posts: 4051
- Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
- Location: Seattle
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It's almost as if this season heard about people complaining about "shorties," so it decided to not allow them to form at all
I'll take that.
I'll take that.
1 likes
Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 8903
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:Yep, another shorty. May become Julia tomorrow, briefly.
Unfriendly atmosphere for the system?
0 likes
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
underthwx wrote:wxman57 wrote:Yep, another shorty. May become Julia tomorrow, briefly.
Unfriendly atmosphere for the system?
It's a sheared system, the Wind Shear is going to be even higher and shred Twelve apart. (Can't see the CIMSS wind shear map, it's too far east for it to be seen)
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:underthwx wrote:wxman57 wrote:Yep, another shorty. May become Julia tomorrow, briefly.
Unfriendly atmosphere for the system?
It's a sheared system, the Wind Shear is going to be even higher and shred Twelve apart. (Can't see the CIMSS wind shear map, it's too far east for it to be seen)
Thanks Ice, and good morning!...(shouldn't you be in a college class right now, to become a Meteorologist?....get to work!.....lol....just messin with you, have a great day!)
1 likes
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 8903
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 8903
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 55 guests