WPAC: INVEST 96W

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Hayabusa
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WPAC: INVEST 96W

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Oct 06, 2022 12:47 am

96W INVEST 221006 0000 16.9N 148.8E WPAC 15 0

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#2 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Oct 06, 2022 1:12 am

Now that's an invest, it's time to not ignore the GFS. Latest GFS makes a significant west shift (but still want a recurve) in contrast to the previous runs.
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#3 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Oct 06, 2022 2:42 am

EPS 00Z
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#4 Postby underthwx » Thu Oct 06, 2022 2:50 am


Is this an issue for the Philippines?
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Hayabusa
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#5 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Oct 06, 2022 2:54 am

underthwx wrote:

Is this an issue for the Philippines?

It could be based on the ensembles. But operational Euro is still not initializing it well if this were to develop.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#6 Postby underthwx » Thu Oct 06, 2022 3:01 am

Hayabusa wrote:
underthwx wrote:

Is this an issue for the Philippines?

It could be based on the ensembles. But operational Euro is still not initializing it well if this were to develop.

Thanks Hayabusa, I'm watching this one for sure...
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#7 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Oct 06, 2022 4:22 am

Scatterometer pass earlier this morning

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#8 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Oct 06, 2022 4:59 am

Whatever forms from this may simply go OTS but it’s a La Niña year and the northeasterly windflower has started to dominate East Asia. Typhoons forming during these times are more likely to go west because of stronger than usual STR to the north.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#9 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Oct 06, 2022 6:20 am

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#10 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:28 am

Hard to say if this is the intense west tracker typhoon the latest GFS is showing or it is another storm going to form behind it.
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#11 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:44 am

00Z multi
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#12 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Oct 07, 2022 8:22 am

06Z EPS
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#13 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:42 am

losing latitude per ATCF and it may be relocated further south or JTWC will tag a new invest

96W INVEST 221007 1200 15.3N 144.4E WPAC 15 1007
96W INVEST 221007 0600 15.6N 145.5E WPAC 15 1006
96W INVEST 221007 0000 15.8N 146.6E WPAC 15 1008
96W INVEST 221006 1800 15.9N 147.5E WPAC 15 1010

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#14 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:47 pm

EPS 12Z
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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