BoB: SITRANG - Post-Tropical

[Subtrop]

92B INVEST 221017 1200 11.5N 96.1E IO 15 0

[ElectricStorm]

This could be a problem... GFS has this getting to the 940s as it approaches India. Will be one to watch for sure

[mrbagyo]

[wxman57]

IMD started advisories as a "Low Pressure Area". Predicted to be a 50kt TC when it reaches Bangladesh. GFS has been terrible with this system. Way too strong and way too far west (into India). Can't trust the GFS beyond 3-4 days.

[Subtrop]

The deep depression over westcentral & adjoining eastcentral Bay of Bengal moved nearly
northwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past 6 hours, intensified into a cyclonic storm
“SITRANG” pronounced as “Si-Trang” and lay centered at 1730 hours IST of today, the 23rd
October over the same region near latitude 16.40N and longitude 88.1
0E, about 730 km northwest of
Port Blair, 580 km south of Sagar Island and 740 km south-southwest of Barisal (Bangladesh).
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards, intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm tomorrow.
Continuing to move north-northeastwards thereafter, it is very likely to cross Bangladesh coast
between Tinkona Island and Sandwip, close to Barisal around 25th October early morning.

[doomhaMwx]

Sitrang is sheared, so hopefully, storm surge wouldn't be a problem for Bangladesh. The predicted rainfall totals (200-500mm) along its track look concerning though.