Texas Fall 2022

[Iceresistance]

0.16" here, barely enough to pause the drying for a few days. Weak sauce down here.

To make matters worse, the QPF in SE Texas is trending drier.

[Edwards Limestone]

Non-event for San Antonio metro. 20 inches below normals, heading for our driest year...ever.

Looks like Comal County picked up 0.25-0.5 at least.

@SouthTexasStorms nailed the forecast down here

[South Texas Storms]

Non-event for San Antonio metro. 20 inches below normals, heading for our driest year...ever.

Looks like Comal County picked up 0.25-0.5 at least.

@SouthTexasStorms nailed the forecast down here

I wish I was wrong...this is like a nightmare that won't end!

Thankfully it looks like SA will have a better chance to pick up some much needed rainfall with the Friday disturbance as it will likely track farther south than yesterday's low.

[sphelps8681]

Line is filling in down South but looks like it might not make it all the way to San Antonio.

Made it to the north side of town, which is what most models showed. Hopefully the Friday event can reach areas that missed out on this event.

I am in Lumberton, Tx and we have a football game Friday night. They are talking about moving the game to Thursday. What kinda of rain event will it be?

[South Texas Storms]

Line is filling in down South but looks like it might not make it all the way to San Antonio.

Made it to the north side of town, which is what most models showed. Hopefully the Friday event can reach areas that missed out on this event.

I am in Lumberton, Tx and we have a football game Friday night. They are talking about moving the game to Thursday. What kinda of rain event will it be?

Right now it's looking like widespread showers and thunderstorms will impact your area Friday afternoon and evening. 1-2 inches of rain along with a few strong storms will be possible. Probably nothing too crazy.

[Iceresistance]

Put this 100 miles further to the south and 20 miles to the east.

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

[Brent]

Put this 100 miles further to the south and 20 miles to the east.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

The GFS is closer than ever too a couple days later







I bet it won't be too long til there's a fantasy snow run here

[Iceresistance]

Put this 100 miles further to the south and 20 miles to the east.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

The GFS is closer than ever too a couple days later

https://i.ibb.co/wy1wZb9/gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-scus-51-1.png



https://i.ibb.co/PYBDq25/gfs-asnow-scus-58.png

I bet it won't be too long til there's a fantasy snow run here

Oh jeez! Guess the Happy Hour GFS heard me on the 12z CMC run!

[Iceresistance]

QPF is trending higher for Texas once again.

[Iceresistance]

The SOI is at it's closest reading to a negative in months! The Daily SOI is at +.71.

[bubba hotep]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

[AubreyStorm]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

This is snow? I live in Frisco Texas.

[Tireman4]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

This is snow? I live in Frisco Texas.

At least the moisture my way ( Houston) is all liquid. Not sure about up your way. I would assume liquid

[rwfromkansas]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

This is snow? I live in Frisco Texas.

No, this is just rain everywhere.

[rwfromkansas]

This sudden shift does make me wonder about those with "cycling" hypotheses of the weather. It is a suddenly different pattern right when they said a new one would start. Still skeptical you can tie everything that happens to a repeating cycle. But, they often do seem to nail things.

Anyway, I will be shockingly close to or slightly above normal if we get another 2 inches. Quite the turnaround.

Things look interesting mid-November on, contrary to the usual hot/dry CPC forecasts.

[Iceresistance]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

This is snow? I live in Frisco Texas.

Just rain, the lowest temperature is in the lower 40s for my area. Low 50s/upper 40s as the lowest for DFW.

[Edwards Limestone]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

Guess I shouldn't complain, but the southern/western half of the state is getting left out again.

0.8" (probably more like 0.25" let's be real) won't do much when you're 20 inches below normals.

[Cpv17]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

Guess I shouldn't complain, but the southern/western half of the state is getting left out again.

0.8" (probably more like 0.25" let's be real) won't do much when you're 20 inches below normals.

I think this time around your area will see a better chance for rain. Still won’t do much to improve the drought but it’ll help a lil bit. I’m over 20” below normal myself.

[weatherdude1108]

WPC looking really good. This would get many areas of North Central Texas up near normal for October.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_sc.png

Guess I shouldn't complain, but the southern/western half of the state is getting left out again.

0.8" (probably more like 0.25" let's be real) won't do much when you're 20 inches below normals.

I think this time around your area will see a better chance for rain. Still won’t do much to improve the drought but it’ll help a lil bit. I’m over 20” below normal myself.

The local weather guy here Zach Shields said this morning that if we can get these systems to come in and drop an inch of rain each week for 12 weeks, we'd be caught up.

But maybe 20 weeks in SA.

[Cpv17]

Guess I shouldn't complain, but the southern/western half of the state is getting left out again.

0.8" (probably more like 0.25" let's be real) won't do much when you're 20 inches below normals.

I think this time around your area will see a better chance for rain. Still won’t do much to improve the drought but it’ll help a lil bit. I’m over 20” below normal myself.

The local weather guy here Zach Shields said this morning that if we can get these systems to come in and drop an inch of rain each week for 12 weeks, we'd be caught up.

But maybe 20 weeks in SA.

Watch when it does start raining (maybe next year or the year after), SA will be 20” above normal lol