Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (Is Invest 98L)
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- AtlanticWind
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas Early Next Week (50/80)
Almost all of the 18z GFS ensembles had the system landfalling in Florida unlike the operational
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- eastcoastFL
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas Early Next Week (50/80)
GFS brings its pretty close to SFL before riding the coast just offshore. Kinda like Isaias.
L
L
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas Early Next Week (50/80)
0z ICON trending stronger.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
Strongest run yet by the GFS before getting close to FL.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
Oh boy!
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- SouthFLTropics
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
I think it is past time to declare this an invest… we need to see what the HWRF and HMON are going to do with this thing. I had to check the calendar to make sure it isn’t September.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
This is not what we wanted tonight, models trending stronger, tomorrow people are going to go nuts when it hits the news.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
I'm surprised this isn't 98L yet. It feels like this could be one of those really, really weird systems.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
CrazyC83 wrote:I'm surprised this isn't 98L yet. It feels like this could be one of those really, really weird systems.
00z GFS says landfall Thursday.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
CrazyC83 wrote:I'm surprised this isn't 98L yet. It feels like this could be one of those really, really weird systems.
Yup...in other words, a typical November TC.
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
CMC big trend west and south with landfall closer to Daytona now.
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
2022 to peninsular Florida after nearly 2 decades of escaping major hurricane landfalls
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
blp wrote:CMC big trend west and south with landfall closer to Daytona now.
https://i.ibb.co/QFbd7XW/gem-z850-vort-seus-fh120-trend.gif
00z CMC… SW shift
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- AdamFirst
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
Well that GFS run has my attention...
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
There’s a slight chance this pulls a hard right last second.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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Re: Possible Development Near the GA/Bahamas (50/80)
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
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