ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
STS is decaying already. Looks like it’s transitioning now
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- CourierPR
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:Hurricane watches extend south until Lake Worth. I would think it would extend further south later in the forecast depending on model runs.
The hurricane watch extends south to Hallandale Beach.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:jlauderdal wrote:SFLcane wrote:Hurricane watch!
its going no farther south than lake worth
I will be in the dirty side and worst weather.
30 miles may make a huge difference on the south side, I'm preparing for a direct hit, shutters tomorrow morning if this holds. Its going to be a rush job, 63 panels, I can do it in 4 hours.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/zDVpj5vQ/nhc.png
Hi Adrian. Where are you? Dont live in Miami right?
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:SFLcane wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/zDVpj5vQ/nhc.png
Hi Adrian. Where are you? Dont live in Miami right?
No, i live a lake worth now. Moved about a year ago.
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
Cirrus is starting to fan out in an anti-cyclonic direction. Looks like this is transitioning. Just need a couple of good bursts near the center and it will be game time.
Last edited by ScottNAtlanta on Mon Nov 07, 2022 11:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:SFLcane wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/zDVpj5vQ/nhc.png
Hi Adrian. Where are you? Dont live in Miami right?
No, i live a lake worth now. Moved about a year ago.
Thank you. The latest track is close to your area.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
[youtube]https://youtu.be/0WKTrH1Y6v0[/youtube]
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M a r k
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- SFLcane
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:
Hi Adrian. Where are you? Dont live in Miami right?
No, i live a lake worth now. Moved about a year ago.
Thank you. The latest track is close to your area?
Yes, pretty close.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
Salute!
Good luck, SFL Cane. My oldest son is there withya over at Lake Clark but his inlaw has a whole house generac and shutters, so family will be safe and powered.
The further north the storm coasts the better due to topography and less population/houses/etc.
The forecast seems more reasonable for a Cat 1 ,and I was wondering about that since we didn't have a strong front or high system coming to the rescue. We Panhandle folks are praying to not have a Erin reflux where the thing crossed and then hooked north to Navarre/Pensacola and a tree came thru my roof!
Gums sends...
Good luck, SFL Cane. My oldest son is there withya over at Lake Clark but his inlaw has a whole house generac and shutters, so family will be safe and powered.
The further north the storm coasts the better due to topography and less population/houses/etc.
The forecast seems more reasonable for a Cat 1 ,and I was wondering about that since we didn't have a strong front or high system coming to the rescue. We Panhandle folks are praying to not have a Erin reflux where the thing crossed and then hooked north to Navarre/Pensacola and a tree came thru my roof!
Gums sends...
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
Is it me or has Nicole already begun moving west? NHC mentions more NW movement today before the turn but not seeing that at the moment.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
gatorcane wrote:Is it me or has Nicole already begun moving west? NHC mentions more NW movement today before the turn but not seeing that at the moment.
It's just you gator....lol, just messing with you...but all joking aside, I wondered about that as well....
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
Important key messages.


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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/1589635127491330049
I'll likely board up in Coconut Creek regardless.
I'll likely board up in Coconut Creek regardless.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
What an interesting system this is. Beach eater on the east coast for sure. Surf over there is already heavy duty. Skinny black line goes right over me as it recurves on that 10 am outlook. Looks like a good fall gale incoming
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
Nice looking circulation, convection building on the north side.


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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
What happened to AF303?
Nothing from them in the last hour.
Nothing from them in the last hour.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
GCANE wrote:What happened to AF303?
Nothing from them in the last hour.
https://twitter.com/53rdWRS/status/1589659419184599041
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Subtropical Storm - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:GCANE wrote:What happened to AF303?
Nothing from them in the last hour.
https://twitter.com/53rdWRS/status/1589659419184599041?s=20&t=VE1vQI_KCyPy4jQfsg9DLQ
Comms are apparently out. Last report from them was at 1541Z.
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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