Edwards Limestone wrote:This humidity is wretched for November
No doubt. It feels disgusting outside. Just had to crank the a/c to flush out some sticky air. It will get better on Friday.
Texas Fall 2022
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
No doubt. It feels disgusting outside. Just had to crank the a/c to flush out some sticky air. It will get better on Friday.
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South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Edwards Limestone wrote:This humidity is wretched for November
Sure is. I wouldn't mind it if it was bringing us some widespread rainfall.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Heavy rain at the office in north Austin! We got about 0.4" or so over the past week at the abode in Cedar Park with storms.
Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Mon Nov 07, 2022 2:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Parts of DFW from the SE moving NW might get a good dose of slow moving rain bands.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
The upcoming -EPO episode might be quite a show for mid November. There are several seasons that feature a dominant EPO ridge over the NW portion of North America. Your typical November cold spells usually looks a little different but this feature is a more prolonged version lasting a week or more. Some of the spells did feature snow/ice somewhere in the southern plains. The very negative SOI reading hints at a potential STJ. Some days ago noted if we can sustain the negatives it would signal a more potent change, and it has.
No doubt this is early season North American cold surge across the continent.
No doubt this is early season North American cold surge across the continent.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Well, we managed to get our bird hunt in on Friday and dodged the tornadoes Friday night. The power went out at my house during the storms, so my weather station stopped recording after 0.60". I think my total was well over 1".
Managed 0.25" this morning. With the sun out now, I can also confirm that this humidity is yuck.
Managed 0.25" this morning. With the sun out now, I can also confirm that this humidity is yuck.
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WeatherNewbie
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:Parts of DFW from the SE moving NW might get a good dose of slow moving rain bands.
Indeed... raining sideways in uptown.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:Parts of DFW from the SE moving NW might get a good dose of slow moving rain bands.
We got rain bombed here! Picked up 1.5" in almost no time.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Going along with the GFS showing several runs with snow around 8-11 days out, it’s also forecasting the PNA to head more towards neutral, which bodes relatively well for the cold air driving right over the plains. It’s something to watch as a negatively tilted PNA favors cold over the western US, but anything between the +-1 range is promising for us.
For reference, this was the PNA during the February 2021 outbreak.
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Cpv17 wrote:Latest CPC forecast is incredible!
Link for us?
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Latest CPC forecast is incredible!
Link for us?
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Cpv17 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Latest CPC forecast is incredible!
Link for us?
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contours-2.png
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
18z GFS gives Northern Texas snow before I do! 
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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cheezyWXguy
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Wow. Models are starting to make me blush. This is a serious front for mid - November.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Wow! Much below temps with above normal precip through 14 days, at least for most of Texas. What a flip!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Wait a minute! The Euro is showing snow for my area! (KFOR likes to rely on the Euro model for snow)
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Wait a minute! The Euro is showing snow for my area! (KFOR likes to rely on the Euro model for snow)
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
I'm not seeing most of these images you are trying to share lately. On my computer on Chrome.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
cstrunk wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Wait a minute! The Euro is showing snow for my area! (KFOR likes to rely on the Euro model for snow)
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2022-11-08-7.41.13-AM.png
I'm not seeing most of these images you are trying to share lately. On my computer on Chrome.
I have the link set up, is it blocked on your screen? I also have a Chrome and it's working fine with me.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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