ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Kat5]

Expecting the NHC track to shift north now that the TVCN is back north.

[Blown Away]

Models seem to be shifting a decent bit north this morning. Maybe this will hit more near Melbourne?

Highly unlikely. Stuart up to Fort Pierce is under the gun.

Nicole moved to 26.5N which was a hair below 4am track. Nicole continues moving S of the track which is common with WSW moving systems. HP gets underestimated, just what I’ve noticed over the many years.

[Blown Away]

Expecting the NHC track to shift north now that the TVCN is back north.

TVCN has been to far N for days.

[CDO62]

Here's another radar link that includes the NHC track.

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

[Kat5]

Expecting the NHC track to shift north now that the TVCN is back north.

TVCN has been to far N for days.

It was over Palm Beach this morning.

[GCANE]

NWS interactive works good for CONUS

https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_ ... MC42fX0%3D

[DESTRUCTION5]

10am track shifted 6 miles north to Sewells point, Martin County.

[Blown Away]

10am track shifted 6 miles north to Sewells point, Martin County.

Hurricanes like that spot.

[typhoonty]

Bahamas radar leaves something to be desired, won’t be long before its on Florida radar.

It started coming into the range of the West Palm Beach Terminal Doppler Radar (TDWR) a few hours ago. I've tried to find a real-time long range loop for TPBI before, but no luck so far.

Radaromega offers 250 most recent frames on TPBI but the furthest it goes out of the long range reflectivity is Marsh Harbour. It’s the most expensive subscription ($11 a month) but I got it for Ian and it was worth it.

[jconsor]

Resolution not so great, but here is a loop:
https://vortex.plymouth.edu/wxp/cgi-bin ... &ident=PBI

Bahamas radar leaves something to be desired, won’t be long before its on Florida radar.

It started coming into the range of the West Palm Beach Terminal Doppler Radar (TDWR) a few hours ago. I've tried to find a real-time long range loop for TPBI before, but no luck so far.

[Poonwalker]

Models seem to be shifting a decent bit north this morning. Maybe this will hit more near Melbourne?

Highly unlikely. Stuart up to Fort Pierce is under the gun.

Nicole moved to 26.5N which was a hair below 4am track. Nicole continues moving S of the track which is common with WSW moving systems. HP gets underestimated, just what I’ve noticed over the many years.

you can put west palm beach under the gun in that case

[NDG]

Made it to Daytona Beach Shores, incredible and to think this is not the worst yet.

 https://twitter.com/ndgmetchef/status/1590360331649683457

[jhpigott]

Models seem to be shifting a decent bit north this morning. Maybe this will hit more near Melbourne?

Highly unlikely. Stuart up to Fort Pierce is under the gun.

Nicole moved to 26.5N which was a hair below 4am track. Nicole continues moving S of the track which is common with WSW moving systems. HP gets underestimated, just what I’ve noticed over the many years.

26.5N is the Boynton Beach/Delray Beach latitude

[caneman]

Highly unlikely. Stuart up to Fort Pierce is under the gun.

Nicole moved to 26.5N which was a hair below 4am track. Nicole continues moving S of the track which is common with WSW moving systems. HP gets underestimated, just what I’ve noticed over the many years.

26.5N is the Boynton Beach/Delray Beach latitude

If it comes in down there she'll have some warm swamp waters to tap

[GCANE]

Lightning starting to fire in the eyewall

[kevin]

The eye from radar imagery is now also slowly becoming apparent in visible:

[Blown Away]

Lightning starting to fire in the eyewall

You’ve been waiting for that, I know you like that lightning!

[Blown Away]

Nicole maintaining the deeper reds on the IR and appears to be intensifying.

[AutoPenalti]

Looks to be slowing down. May begin the turn to the west shortly.

[GCANE]

Lightning starting to fire in the eyewall

You’ve been waiting for that, I know you like that lightning!

I can see it when I close my eyes