starsfan65 wrote:Travis Meyer?Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:
No but he does work for NBC here
Oh, it's from KJRH. Not KFOR.
Mike Collier. He showed a model with a high of 8 next Thursday
Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Mike Collier. He showed a model with a high of 8 next Thursday
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:starsfan65 wrote:Travis Meyer?Iceresistance wrote:Oh, it's from KJRH. Not KFOR.
Mike Collier. He showed a model with a high of 8 next Thursday
Mike Morgan showed his with a High of 6 on Friday on KFOR.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:starsfan65 wrote:Travis Meyer?Iceresistance wrote:Oh, it's from KJRH. Not KFOR.
Mike Collier. He showed a model with a high of 8 next Thursday
I wouldn’t be surprised if you guys in Oklahoma stay in the negatives for 1-2 days. Maybe more.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Even if the GFS does not show 1070+ mb Arctic HPs, the 1050s can still cause a huge cold wave.
0z GFS is flat with the trough (for the period) 1061mb. More west coast Pna ridging on this run.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Brent wrote:starsfan65 wrote:Travis Meyer?
Mike Collier. He showed a model with a high of 8 next Thursday
I wouldn’t be surprised if you guys in Oklahoma stay in the negatives for 1-2 days. Maybe more.
Yeah the other met was "hoping the models are too cold" you can see the potential here...
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South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Even if the GFS does not show 1070+ mb Arctic HPs, the 1050s can still cause a huge cold wave.
0z GFS is flat with the trough (for the period) 1061mb. More west coast Pna ridging on this run.
0z Canadian and ICON have also trended in this direction.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Even if the GFS does not show 1070+ mb Arctic HPs, the 1050s can still cause a huge cold wave.
0z GFS is flat with the trough (for the period) 1061mb. More west coast Pna ridging on this run.
I hope the PNA does not become too positive as it could deny the cold air here.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The 0z GFS gives me the perfect NW Flow for snow! 
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
0z GFS is cold enough due to the strength of the highs driving it south anyway but would like a better look.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:0z GFS is cold enough due to the strength of the highs driving it south anyway but would like a better look.
Not if the 0z GFS gives DFW the Christmas Miracle!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0z GFS is cold enough due to the strength of the highs driving it south anyway but would like a better look.
Not if the 0z GFS gives DFW the Christmas Miracle!
It doesn’t. It shows a few in Texas getting a little bit but let’s not kid ourselves on yet another model run over 10 days away.
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"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"
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starsfan65
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Being in the 20's On Christmas is a miracle of it's own.Texas Snow wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0z GFS is cold enough due to the strength of the highs driving it south anyway but would like a better look.
Not if the 0z GFS gives DFW the Christmas Miracle!
It doesn’t. It shows a few in Texas getting a little bit but let’s not kid ourselves on yet another model run over 10 days away.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Texas Snow wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0z GFS is cold enough due to the strength of the highs driving it south anyway but would like a better look.
Not if the 0z GFS gives DFW the Christmas Miracle!
It doesn’t. It shows a few in Texas getting a little bit but let’s not kid ourselves on yet another model run over 10 days away.
The 0z GFS has trended the +PNA further west. A good start to hopefully a trend towards more neutral PNA.
Did we have this kind of situation before in this range in February when the less-than-easily-predictable PNA on the models started to drive us crazy?
Last edited by Iceresistance on Wed Dec 14, 2022 12:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
starsfan65 wrote:Being in the 20's On Christmas is a miracle of it's own.
Hallelujah. Anything else is gravy after last year.
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"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Well, if December does not do it. January or February will.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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txtwister78
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Itryatgolf
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
It looks like most have dodged a bullet with the real cold air imo. Still cold but nothing like what could have been. When you got the -wpo/epo, cold will come. This is my two cents. We will probably have to wait until mid-end of January for our next realistic chance.
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ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Even if the GFS does not show 1070+ mb Arctic HPs, the 1050s can still cause a huge cold wave.
0z GFS is flat with the trough (for the period) 1061mb. More west coast Pna ridging on this run.
I hope the PNA does not become too positive as it could deny the cold air here.
It wouldn’t.
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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Local met here in San Antonio taking note of the GFS and what potentially lies ahead in context with one of the big analog years.
https://twitter.com/ChrisSuchanWOAI/status/1602822490170052611
https://twitter.com/ChrisSuchanWOAI/status/1602822490170052611
Last edited by txtwister78 on Wed Dec 14, 2022 12:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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