Texas Winter 2022-2023

[Iceresistance]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

Has Thundersleet for my area, what?

[Ntxw]

Obs around the region .

32F at DFW
34F at Love
30F at FW Meacham
30F at Denton
28F at Decatur

35F at Waco
37F at Temple

45F at Kaus
44F at Mabry
40F at Georgetown

[orangeblood]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

Yeah, Tomorrow afternoon commute could be dicey with that initial wave

[rwfromkansas]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

Is it drying up or about the same?

It definitely is wetter tomorrow than the NAM.

[bubba hotep]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

These impulses are coming out of a data poor region of Mexico, and it is common for them to overperform in these setups with WAA over a freezing surface layer.

[Ntxw]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

Is it drying up or about the same?

It definitely is wetter tomorrow than the NAM.

Looks the same if not aggressive. I'm not concerned about moisture. That ULL is slowly pumping up tons of it. It will be days until it comes out and the upper divergence delivers plenty of activity. You don't get this much qpf this late in winter often. But can see how we might end up with more sleet than ZR, while freezing rain threats shifts further south.

[bubba hotep]

I guess in DFW, it's time to really start pulling for the majority of this to be sleet...

[Iceresistance]

0z HRRR is trending with ZR/Sleet mix tomorrow for I-35 in NTX tomorrow. Definitely trending in a slightly colder profile than before.

Is it drying up or about the same?

It definitely is wetter tomorrow than the NAM.

More Ice for DFW too, at least 3/10 to 5/10th of an inch.

[Ntxw]

HRRR also keeps North Texas in the upper 20s all the way through Tuesday, something to watch. If that happens you know the western and northern burbs will be in the mid 20s.

[Brent]

Starting to get a glaze on the cars here from all the freezing drizzle

Also Tulsa finally issued an advisory for tomorrow

[txtwister78]

HRRR extended run concerning for DFW. No doubt about it now. Surface temps per the model hovering around 26-28 during brunt of precip.

Factor in wind chills with ice sticking to power lines. Brutal run no question.

[Ntxw]

NAM isn't quite temperature numbers as HRRR but it's getting there compared to prior runs. Aside from the artificial core urban effects most should be 30 or less. Also the freezing line is further south and east in TX.

[Portastorm]

The 0z NAM running a few degrees colder now for Austin thru 18z Monday. Hmm …

[txtwister78]

The 0z NAM running a few degrees colder now for Austin thru 18z Monday. Hmm …

Yup..dipping that freezing line into Northern Bexar/SA as well. Might have to watch late Monday night into Tuesday morning across that area now. Lots of elevated bridges and overpasses.

[gboudx]

I’m trying to keep up with the comments and graphics. Is it still looking like tomorrow will mostly be okay until late afternoon/evening in DFW? I realize some parts may be impacted more than others, so just the overall thought.

[txtwister78]

NAM definitely in a different camp both precip type and amounts for DFW so that in and of itself is going to be an interesting watch for tomorrow. Pushing freezing rain line much further south with more sleet for DFW points west.

[BrokenGlass]

Currently in Richardson Heights area…



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[Texas Snow]

Interesting on the end of the Nam that overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning it warms up and turns it just to cold rain. Lots of frozen precip before that however

[txtwister78]

[bubba hotep]

00z HRRR would be a pretty big issue for DFW if this is all freezing rain. Temps are more borderline as you head down I35.