93S INVEST 230218 0600 10.1S 93.5E SHEM 15 0
SIO: ENALA - Post-Tropical
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: INVEST 93S
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.1S
76.5E, APPROXIMATELY 456 NM NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. AN ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE AND A 211330Z SCATTEROMETER IMAGE
REVEALS A BROAD ELONGATED CIRCULATION THAT IS HIDDEN BENEATH PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION WITH VERTICAL HOT TOWERS AND ASSOCIATED RAIN FLAGGED
WINDS AT 30-35KT TO THE SOUTHWEST; BUT WITH WEAKER WINDS TO THE
NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS FAVORABLE AT 10-15KT, DUAL
CHANNEL OUTFLOW BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD, WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE
ALOFT, AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) AT 28-29C. MODEL GUIDANCE
GENERALLY INDICATES DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 21 TO 26 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
76.5E, APPROXIMATELY 456 NM NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. AN ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE AND A 211330Z SCATTEROMETER IMAGE
REVEALS A BROAD ELONGATED CIRCULATION THAT IS HIDDEN BENEATH PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION WITH VERTICAL HOT TOWERS AND ASSOCIATED RAIN FLAGGED
WINDS AT 30-35KT TO THE SOUTHWEST; BUT WITH WEAKER WINDS TO THE
NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS FAVORABLE AT 10-15KT, DUAL
CHANNEL OUTFLOW BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD, WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE
ALOFT, AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) AT 28-29C. MODEL GUIDANCE
GENERALLY INDICATES DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 21 TO 26 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: INVEST 93S
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: Depression 08
TCFA.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: Depression 08
TROPICAL DEPRESSION number 8
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1002 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 10 a.m. local: 14.0 South / 75.0 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 2180 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3230 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 24 km/h.
System Information:
- Tropical depression n°8-20222023 is currently located about 800 km south-southeast of Diego Garcia.
- It is moving southwest and encountering an intensification window that could lead it to the stage of a moderate tropical storm between this afternoon and tomorrow.
- This system should be short-lived and will stay away from inhabited land.
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1002 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 10 a.m. local: 14.0 South / 75.0 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 2180 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3230 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 24 km/h.
System Information:
- Tropical depression n°8-20222023 is currently located about 800 km south-southeast of Diego Garcia.
- It is moving southwest and encountering an intensification window that could lead it to the stage of a moderate tropical storm between this afternoon and tomorrow.
- This system should be short-lived and will stay away from inhabited land.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 998 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 4 p.m. local time: 14.6 South / 74.3 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 2080 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3150 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 998 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 4 p.m. local time: 14.6 South / 74.3 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 2080 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3150 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Moderate Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 10 p.m. local: 15.7 South / 73.3 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1935 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3040 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h.
System Information:
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 22 at 10 p.m. local: 15.7 South / 73.3 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1935 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 3040 km to sector: EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h.
System Information:
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Moderate Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 04 local time: 16.4 South / 72.5 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 1830 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2970 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 20 km/h.
System Information:
- Moderate tropical storm ENALA is currently located more than 1000 km east-northeast of Rodrigues, and is moving southwest.
- On a south-southwestward curving track, this system enjoys a short window of intensification today, before weakening this weekend.
- This system will stay away from inhabited lands and therefore poses no threat.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 04 local time: 16.4 South / 72.5 East.
Distance from the coast of Reunion: 1830 km to the sector: EAST-NORTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2970 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 20 km/h.
System Information:
- Moderate tropical storm ENALA is currently located more than 1000 km east-northeast of Rodrigues, and is moving southwest.
- On a south-southwestward curving track, this system enjoys a short window of intensification today, before weakening this weekend.
- This system will stay away from inhabited lands and therefore poses no threat.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 10 a.m. local: 17.2 South / 71.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1745 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2920 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 20 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 10 a.m. local: 17.2 South / 71.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1745 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2920 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 20 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 986 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 4 p.m. local: 18.5 South / 71.5 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1660 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2880 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h.
System Information:
- The strong tropical storm ENALA is currently located more than 1400 km east-northeast of Reunion, and is moving south-southwest.
- On a south-southwestward track, this system benefits from a short window of intensification today, before a gradual weakening at the end of the week.
- This system will stay away from inhabited lands and therefore poses no threat.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 986 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 4 p.m. local: 18.5 South / 71.5 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1660 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2880 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 22 km/h.
System Information:
- The strong tropical storm ENALA is currently located more than 1400 km east-northeast of Reunion, and is moving south-southwest.
- On a south-southwestward track, this system benefits from a short window of intensification today, before a gradual weakening at the end of the week.
- This system will stay away from inhabited lands and therefore poses no threat.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 986 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 10 p.m. local time: 19.4 South / 70.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1580 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 19 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 986 hPa.
Position on February 23 at 10 p.m. local time: 19.4 South / 70.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1580 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 19 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Tropical Cyclone
TROPICAL CYCLONE number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 982 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 04 local time: 20.9 South / 70.5 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1520 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 19 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 982 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 04 local time: 20.9 South / 70.5 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1520 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 19 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 984 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 10 a.m. local: 22.0 South / 70.4 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1505 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2860 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH, at 20 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 984 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 10 a.m. local: 22.0 South / 70.4 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1505 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2860 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH, at 20 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 988 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 4 p.m. local time: 22.7 South / 69.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1460 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 17 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 988 hPa.
Position on February 24 at 4 p.m. local time: 22.7 South / 69.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1460 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 17 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Strong Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 25 at 10 a.m. local: 25.0 South / 68.7 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1375 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2810 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 17 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 25 at 10 a.m. local: 25.0 South / 68.7 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1375 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2810 km to the sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-WEST, at 17 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Moderate Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 85 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 992 hPa.
Position on February 26 at 10 a.m. local: 28.1 South / 67.4 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1390 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2860 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 13 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 85 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 992 hPa.
Position on February 26 at 10 a.m. local: 28.1 South / 67.4 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1390 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2860 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST, at 13 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Moderate Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 26 at 10 p.m. local: 28.8 South / 66.6 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1365 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: WEST-SOUTH-WEST, at 6 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 990 hPa.
Position on February 26 at 10 p.m. local: 28.8 South / 66.6 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1365 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2840 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: WEST-SOUTH-WEST, at 6 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Moderate Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 85 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 27 at 10 a.m. local: 29.2 South / 67.2 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1440 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2910 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: EAST-NORTH-EAST, at 9 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 85 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 27 at 10 a.m. local: 29.2 South / 67.2 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1440 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2910 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: EAST-NORTH-EAST, at 9 km/h.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: ENALA - Depression
RESIDUAL DEPRESSION number 8
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 999 hPa.
Position on February 28 at 04 local time: 28.1 South / 67.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1430 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2900 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: NORTH, at 7 km/h.
(ENALA)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 999 hPa.
Position on February 28 at 04 local time: 28.1 South / 67.9 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1430 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2900 km to the sector: SOUTH-EAST
Movement: NORTH, at 7 km/h.
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