2023 Severe Weather
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- Tireman4
- S2K Supporter
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
ornado Warning
TXC245-242230-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0004.230124T2154Z-230124T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
354 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
West central Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 430 PM CST.
* At 354 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located over Stowell, or near Hamshire, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* This dangerous storm will be near...
La Belle and Fannett around 405 PM CST.
Port Acres around 410 PM CST.
Port Arthur around 415 PM CST.
This includes Interstate 10 in Texas between mile markers 844 and
832.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
&&
LAT...LON 3002 9415 2991 9401 2972 9435 2989 9436
2989 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 236DEG 57KT 2979 9434
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
$$
TXC245-242230-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0004.230124T2154Z-230124T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
354 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
West central Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 430 PM CST.
* At 354 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located over Stowell, or near Hamshire, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* This dangerous storm will be near...
La Belle and Fannett around 405 PM CST.
Port Acres around 410 PM CST.
Port Arthur around 415 PM CST.
This includes Interstate 10 in Texas between mile markers 844 and
832.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
&&
LAT...LON 3002 9415 2991 9401 2972 9435 2989 9436
2989 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 236DEG 57KT 2979 9434
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
$$
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
EF2 in Houston. This is now Texas's 1st EF2 in January since 2018.
https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618258953191985153
https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618258953191985153
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
cycloneye wrote:EF2 in Houston. This is now Texas's 1st EF2 in January since 2018.
https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618258953191985153
It got upgraded to EF-3, which was confirmed from the Damage Assessment Toolkit.
Have the link just in case you need it.
https://apps.dat.noaa.gov/stormdamage/damageviewer/
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22950
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
The tornado which struck Pasadena on Tuesday was certainly tragic and uncommon for our area, but strong tornadoes are not unheard of here. Back on Nov. 21, 1992, there was a very significant tornado outbreak across our area. A large F-4 tornado (a mile wide) cut a 30-mile path across nearly the same area (just a little north). The wife and I were biking near Sealy that day. Had to take shelter as a much smaller tornado passed very near us. No cell phones with radar apps back then.
https://www.tornadotalk.com/channelview-tx-f4-tornado-november-21-1992/
https://www.tornadotalk.com/channelview-tx-f4-tornado-november-21-1992/
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
First report of the SE Harris county in Houston. More to come.
https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618679574686216198

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618679574686216198

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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
I am more concerned for this Spring Storm Season compared to last year because the drought in the SW is much weaker compared to last year.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Tireman4
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5851
- Age: 59
- Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
Possible Severe Weather on the horizon.
Andrew Berrington
@ahberrington
With a recent shift in ensemble guidance towards a lead trough lifting further northwest and with more separation between waves, the door to a potentially significant severe threat appears to be opening across the Southeast around 2/15-16.
Andrew Berrington
@ahberrington
With a recent shift in ensemble guidance towards a lead trough lifting further northwest and with more separation between waves, the door to a potentially significant severe threat appears to be opening across the Southeast around 2/15-16.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9278
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
Dixie Alley Outbreak possible next week, it's looking big
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
I don't think I have ever seen a Slight Risk this big.

https://s9.gifyu.com/images/day5prob-149ead6873849cf3e.gif


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/day5prob-149ead6873849cf3e.gif
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
Be very careful there.




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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
cycloneye wrote:Be very careful there.
https://i.imgur.com/5WF1ZAq.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/jp0n9b6.png
It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
Iceresistance wrote:cycloneye wrote:Be very careful there.
https://i.imgur.com/5WF1ZAq.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/jp0n9b6.png
It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.

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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
cycloneye wrote:Iceresistance wrote:cycloneye wrote:Be very careful there.
https://i.imgur.com/5WF1ZAq.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/jp0n9b6.png
It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.
https://i.imgur.com/BN2njUd.jpg
Yeah, this is looking ugly.
I looked at the SREF on the SPC. The Derecho, STP, and Supercell Composite Parameters are high. Tonight is going to be very rough.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather
For later in the week it will be a larger area of coverage.
https://twitter.com/TreyceJonesWX/status/1629915603950608385
https://twitter.com/TreyceJonesWX/status/1629915603950608385
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9278
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
I saw that from the SPC Discussion, very strong wording from the SPC.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
A big area of concern for Thursday.


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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9278
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: 2023 Severe Weather
Yeah, the Texas Spring forum is watching it.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143857
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
2022 Severe Weather
Moderate Risk for Thursday.


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