Texas Spring 2023

[Iceresistance]

Thunderstorm Watch up for DFW, I didn't think anyone expected that.

OMG it's happening

What is happening?

[HockeyTx82]

Thunderstorm Watch up for DFW, I didn't think anyone expected that.

OMG it's happening

What is happening?

Severe weather in Texas.

[Iceresistance]

OMG it's happening

What is happening?

Severe weather in Texas.

Saw a report of Ping Pong Ball Sized hail near Gransbury

[cycloneye]

Moderate risk of tornadoes for Thursday. Dallas is among the big cities at risk.

[orangeblood]

Really strong cold signal in week 2, add to it an active Pacific Jet and Winter may not be over quite yet.....

[Iceresistance]

DFW could have some flooding issues because there is a slow-moving storm over Fort Worth

This might be the perfect start to Meteorological Spring for DFW.

[wxman57]

I'm SHOCKED that the big snow storm across Texas predicted by the GFS six days ago isn't going to materialize. My cold-mongering coworker is talking about that SSW event, too. I'm confident that my new and improved wall will keep the cold out of SE TX.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023022306/gfs_asnow_scus_40.png

[Iceresistance]

Enhanced risk now up for Texarkana today

[mcallum177]

which NWS website is this graphic style from?

Moderate risk of tornadoes for Thursday. Dallas is among the big cities at risk.

https://i.imgur.com/uUVfizy.jpg

[Iceresistance]

which NWS website is this graphic style from?

Moderate risk of tornadoes for Thursday. Dallas is among the big cities at risk.

https://i.imgur.com/uUVfizy.jpg

Is it something like this?
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody2.png

[Ntxw]

which NWS website is this graphic style from?

Moderate risk of tornadoes for Thursday. Dallas is among the big cities at risk.

https://i.imgur.com/uUVfizy.jpg

Is it something like this?
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody2.png

SPC website is one of if not the best for severe weather and mesoanalysis. The graphic can be found there.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

[cheezyWXguy]

Yeesh, the 15% hatched tornado risk has been extended west, now just a hair east of Dallas. Lines up with the 45% hatched wind risk now too. I could practically toss a rock off my apartment balcony and have it land in the Moderate risk now

[mcallum177]

I found that specific format on twitter. It's a bit more detailed on the county lines than their main map.

which NWS website is this graphic style from?

Is it something like this?
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody2.png

SPC website is one of if not the best for severe weather and mesoanalysis. The graphic can be found there.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

[Ntxw]

I found that specific format on twitter. It's a bit more detailed on the county lines than their main map.

Is it something like this?
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody2.png

SPC website is one of if not the best for severe weather and mesoanalysis. The graphic can be found there.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

You can select the day and at the top legend check the filters (counties, tornado, wind, etc) and you will get what you're looking for! The graphic is from this that the SPC provided.

SPC outlook days

[bubba hotep]

The Mona Lisa of Fantasy Snow Maps

[Ntxw]

The Mona Lisa of Fantasy Snow Maps

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023030112/240/sn10_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Euro..jeez, please be true! I guess you can do that with extreme Arctic blocking.

The record snowfall for March is 3/13/1924 at DFW 6".

[Iceresistance]

The Mona Lisa of Fantasy Snow Maps

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023030112/240/sn10_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Euro..jeez, please be true! I guess you can do that with extreme Arctic blocking.

The record snowfall for March is 3/13/1924 at DFW 6".

1924 is also the snowiest for OKC in March with over 20 inches.

[txtwister78]

From mid-Feb in the Winter thread:

-NAO that I talked about a few days ago is finally starting to show up in modeling. Then the Euro Weeklies also take the AO & WPO negative in March. The only thing holding back an Epic March is the EPO. I think we will get an EPO push and we should see 1-2 weeks of legit winter wx in March.

With this kind of EPO dump, I would expect temps to trend colder as we get closer to the event. The EPS is also starting to light up the 12-14th with a decent snow signal for the Southern Plains.

https://i.ibb.co/0G49xcC/MarchEPO.png

That would be something. Definitely a much colder signal relative to the averages per the Euro ENS, but outside of the Panhandle region, I just think it's going to take that and probably a little more in the form of a dynamic driven ULL in order to deliver a real March Madness Texas "Lotto" snow shocker in the middle of March, but hey I hope it happens. I'd love to be wrong on that front in a few weeks. Talk about ending/transitioning out of three consecutive years of a La Nina with a bang.

And that would definitely do it. Lol

[txtwister78]

Seeing some trends for a few isolated severe storms late this evening into the overnight hours for parts of SC TX. Isolated risk but HRRR, RAP and NAM all showing the potential for a few hailers.

[Iceresistance]

As long as I'm north of the yellow line (the boundary), I'm safe from the tornado threat.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Wild-Early-March.png