SIO: FREDDY - Remnants

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1634684764253986816

[cycloneye]

Has passed Ioke on most ACE.

SH, 11, 2023031200, , BEST, 0, 175S, 369E, 80, 972, TY

 https://twitter.com/VortixWx/status/1634701830331482114

[cycloneye]

Bulletin of March 12 at 04:50 am local time in Reunion (03.50 am local time in Mayotte):


TROPICAL CYCLONE number 7

(FREDDY)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 120 km/h.

Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.

Estimated pressure at the center: 983 hPa.

Position on March 12 at 04 local time: 17.5 South / 36.9 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 1960 km to the sector: WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 1020 km to the sector: WEST-SOUTH-WEST

Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 7 km/h.

System Information:

- FREDDY now evolves on earth. It is weakening but for the moment keeps an impressive cloud configuration with an eye that is still very distinct. It therefore remains classified as a tropical cyclone with maximum winds which have however weakened compared to last night.

- FREDDY is sinking inland but will continue to generate violent gusts in its path until tomorrow. Very heavy rains are moving inland from today, not only over Mozambique but also over southern Malawi. They will continue for at least the next 3 days and will be likely to cause widespread flooding and landslides in mountainous areas through accumulation. Residents are encouraged to follow the instructions issued by local authorities.

- In the course of next week, an exit at sea of ​​FREDDY is possible but the environment in which the system should then evolve, does not appear favorable to a re-intensification.

[cycloneye]

JTWC released at 03:00z their final warning but will it really be?

[cycloneye]

Bulletin of March 12 at 10:02 a.m. local in Reunion (09:02 a.m. local in Mayotte):


SEVERE TROPICAL STORM number 7

(FREDDY)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.

Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 130 km/h.

Estimated pressure at the center: 992 hPa.

Position on March 12 at 10 a.m. local: 17.3 South / 36.8 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 1975 km to the sector: WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 1030 km to the sector: WEST-SOUTH-WEST

Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 6 km/h.

System Information:

- The inhabitants of Mozambique and Malawi are invited to listen to the instructions of the local authorities.

- FREDDY now evolves on earth. It is weakening but still holds strong winds on the threshold of the strong tropical storm.

- FREDDY is sinking inland but very heavy rains are reaching inland not only over Mozambique but also over southern Malawi. They will continue for at least the next 3 days and will be likely to cause widespread flooding and landslides in mountainous areas through accumulation.

- In the course of next week, an exit at sea of ​​FREDDY is possible but the environment in which the system should then evolve, does not appear favorable to a re-intensification.

[aspen]

JTWC released at 03:00z their final warning but will it really be?

https://i.imgur.com/mFF3A2s.jpg

That seems extremely premature. It’s not dissipating that fast, and even as a TD there still need to be advisories initiated on it.

[doomhaMwx]

JTWC released at 03:00z their final warning but will it really be?

https://i.imgur.com/mFF3A2s.jpg

That seems extremely premature. It’s not dissipating that fast, and even as a TD there still need to be advisories initiated on it.

Not unusual to see JTWC issue their final warning as soon as a TC moves inland, especially when it's not threatening US military interests.

[cycloneye]

MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 7

(FREDDY)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.

Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.

Estimated pressure at the center: 996 hPa.

Position on March 12 at 4 p.m. local time: 17.2 South / 36.3 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2030 km to the sector: WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 1060 km to the sector: WEST-SOUTH-WEST

Movement: WEST-NORTH-WEST, at 9 km/h.

System Information:

- The inhabitants of Mozambique and Malawi are invited to listen to the instructions of the local authorities.

- FREDDY continues to evolve on earth. It is weakening but still holds strong winds on the threshold of the moderate tropical storm.

- FREDDY is sinking inland but very heavy rains are reaching inland not only over Mozambique but also over southern Malawi. They will continue for at least the next 3 days and will be likely to cause widespread flooding and landslides in mountainous areas through accumulation.

- In the course of next week, an exit at sea of ​​FREDDY is possible but the environment in which the system should then evolve, does not appear favorable to a re-intensification.

[cycloneye]

Bulletin of March 12 at 10:18 p.m. local time in Reunion (9.18 p.m. local time in Mayotte):


DEPRESSION ON EARTH number 7

(FREDDY)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 55 km/h.

Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.

Estimated pressure at the center: 1001 hPa.

Position on March 12 at 10 p.m. local: 17.1 South / 35.8 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2085 km to the sector: WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 1110 km to the sector: WEST-SOUTH-WEST

Movement: WEST, at 9 km/h.

System Information:

- The inhabitants of Mozambique and Malawi are invited to listen to the instructions of the local authorities.

- FREDDY continues to move on land in a general northwesterly direction. It has weakened at the end of the day and should continue a weakening trend over the next few days.

- FREDDY is currently generating very heavy rains inland not only over Mozambique (Zambezia province and northern Sofola province in particular) but also over the extreme south of Malawi. These rains will continue over the next 3 days in connection with the movement of the system and will be likely to cause accumulation, flooding and landslides in mountainous areas.

- In the course of next week, an exit at sea of ​​FREDDY is possible but the environment in which the system should then evolve, does not appear favorable to a possible re-intensification.

[cycloneye]

GFS has shear dominating so Freddy finally may be gone for good.

[cycloneye]

This is the last warning by RSMC.

Bulletin of March 13 at 4:29 p.m. local time in Reunion (3.29 p.m. local time in Mayotte):

A low pressure system is currently present over the South West Indian Ocean.


DEPRESSION ON EARTH number 7

(FREDDY)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 45 km/h.

Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 65 km/h.

Estimated pressure at the center: 999 hPa.

Position on March 13 at 4 p.m. local time: 16.5 South / 34.5 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2240 km to the sector: WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 1220 km to the sector: WEST-SOUTH-WEST

Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 6 km/h.

System Information:

- Overland depression FREDDY continues to track in a general northwesterly direction, with a localized center near the border between Mozambique and the southern tip of Malawi.

- FREDDY should remain at a weakened stage in terms of winds over the next few days. However, it will continue to generate very abundant rains in the interior of Mozambique (Zambézia province, north of Sofola and Manica provinces, south-east of Tete province, south of Niassa province) and over southern Malawi.

- These heavy rains will continue until Tuesday evening in the interior and until Wednesday on the Zambezian coast. They are likely to cause very large floods and landslides in mountainous areas.

- In the middle of the week, an exit at sea from FREDDY in the Mozambique Channel is planned, but at a very weakened stage. The environmental conditions in which the system is expected to evolve are not favorable for future re-intensification.

- The definitive attenuation of the rains over Mozambique and Malawi is expected from Wednesday evening.

- The inhabitants of Mozambique and Malawi are invited to exercise the greatest caution and to remain attentive to the safety instructions of the local authorities.

- This is the last regular follow-up bulletin of the FREDDY system by the RSMC

[Iceresistance]

Does this mean that Cyclone Freddy is finally dead?

[InfernoFlameCat]

Does this mean that Cyclone Freddy is finally dead?

Not quite…

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/MatthewCuyugan/status/1635288408124956672

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1635348426652266497

[cycloneye]

The full life of Freddy in 21 seconds.

 https://twitter.com/WxNB_/status/1636096557878484995

[galaxy401]

Freddy has officially dissipated, finally ending his long adventure. Over 5 weeks! However, this storm has caused over 300 deaths so we won't be seeing the name again.

[cycloneye]

Sad news.

 https://twitter.com/VortixWx/status/1636379071310598148

[Foxfires]

https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1635348426652266497

I was busy all week so this response is late. Ioke has 85.265 units. I don't know why Wikipedia kept listing the preliminary ACE when the best track has been out for so long. I hope it will list the best track ACE for Freddy when that comes out as well.

[cycloneye]

Great animation.

 https://twitter.com/NASAAtmosphere/status/1636818943972106240