Texas Spring 2023

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cstrunk
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#901 Postby cstrunk » Fri Apr 21, 2023 8:04 am

All of the severe weather stayed west/north of me, which is fine. I ended up with 0.88". I think it was mentioned but a tornado (looked pretty weak) touched down in Tyler, TX. I'm headed to Washington D.C. today for the weekend and it looks like the severe weather threat will follow me there tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#902 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Apr 21, 2023 3:32 pm

How often is there a Thunderstorm Watch for Far Southern Texas and Brownsville?
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#903 Postby Ntxw » Fri Apr 21, 2023 4:48 pm

First half of April was much slower than would have anticipated but slowly coming around. Many south of I-20 is running above normal for April. North of I-20 (and into Oklahoma) is a little below but that will gradually decrease with the growing El Nino and seasonal variability shifting northwards of natural QPF.

With the El Nino it's bound to get really rainy at some point, for the next week we get a really nice cool spell.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#904 Postby Brent » Fri Apr 21, 2023 10:20 pm

Ntxw wrote:First half of April was much slower than would have anticipated but slowly coming around. Many south of I-20 is running above normal for April. North of I-20 (and into Oklahoma) is a little below but that will gradually decrease with the growing El Nino and seasonal variability shifting northwards of natural QPF.

With the El Nino it's bound to get really rainy at some point, for the next week we get a really nice cool spell.

https://i.imgur.com/03Oh4uX.png


Yeah it's been a very dry month here. Airport didn't even measure yesterday even after the tornadoes to the southwest :spam:

And of course the drought rages just NW of here
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#905 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Apr 22, 2023 10:09 am

Tuesday could be an interesting day for the Austin/SA region for some nasty weather. EWX mentions all severe weather possibilities including tornadoes. They do say the forecast may change so we will see but definitely an active week ahead.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#906 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Apr 22, 2023 10:39 am

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#907 Postby Brent » Sat Apr 22, 2023 1:56 pm

Feels like winter here again... 55 degrees with low clouds and a chilly wind at times
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#908 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Apr 22, 2023 6:05 pm

Nice April cool down on the way. If I recall correctly, last April was torch city.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#909 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Apr 22, 2023 6:38 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Nice April cool down on the way. If I recall correctly, last April was torch city.

And too many cap busts
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#910 Postby Ntxw » Sat Apr 22, 2023 7:10 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Nice April cool down on the way. If I recall correctly, last April was torch city.


Last April was very dry, hot, and began a streak of ++SOI that set stage for the months that followed. Complete opposite this year.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#911 Postby Brent » Sat Apr 22, 2023 8:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Nice April cool down on the way. If I recall correctly, last April was torch city.


Last April was very dry, hot, and began a streak of ++SOI that set stage for the months that followed. Complete opposite this year.


Yeah last summer was horrible. Has to be better this year
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#912 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Apr 22, 2023 9:37 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming for San Antonio metro

 https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1649960811287412736


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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#913 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Apr 22, 2023 9:44 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming for San Antonio metro

https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1649960811287412736?s=20


Let's see how far east the storms get with that sharp instability axis near IH-35. Think areas farther west that missed out on the storms a few days ago have a better shot tonight.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#914 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Apr 22, 2023 9:48 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#915 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Apr 22, 2023 9:52 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming for San Antonio metro

https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1649960811287412736?s=20


Let's see how far east the storms get with that sharp instability axis near IH-35. Think areas farther west that missed out on the storms a few days ago have a better shot tonight.


Agreed. Models seem to have a good handle on that trend west as well. Storms up north that are crossing into more of that stable air along and just east of 35 are weakening a bit. Meanwhile storm up around Fredericksburg looks mean.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#916 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Apr 22, 2023 9:59 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming for San Antonio metro

https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1649960811287412736?s=20


Let's see how far east the storms get with that sharp instability axis near IH-35. Think areas farther west that missed out on the storms a few days ago have a better shot tonight.


Agreed. Models seem to have a good handle on that trend west as well. Storms up north that are crossing into more of that stable air along and just east of 35 are weakening a bit. Meanwhile storm up around Fredericksburg looks mean.

That storm is making a run for San Antonio
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#917 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 23, 2023 8:48 am

San Antonio got 2 inches of rain in the past 72 hours.

The Force Field is breaking!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#918 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Apr 23, 2023 9:20 am

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#919 Postby lrak » Sun Apr 23, 2023 11:06 am

Wow, cats and dogs right now in CCTX. Super heavy rainfall, it is absolutely a different set up, the GOM usually settles these storms down. Today I'm getting a free pressure house wash.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#920 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 23, 2023 11:23 am

lrak wrote:Wow, cats and dogs right now in CCTX. Super heavy rainfall, it is absolutely a different set up, the GOM usually settles these storms down. Today I'm getting a free pressure house wash.

There was a drought in Coastal Texas, I think those kinds of storms took care of that one. :D
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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