JTWC has a forecast peak of at least 120kts now. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs still show landfall a bit north of JTWC's (and IMD's) forecast, which could have big implications on storm surge impacts.
BoB: MOCHA - Post-Tropical
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Severe Cyclonic Storm
01B MOCHA 230512 0000 13.4N 88.2E IO 65 981
JTWC has a forecast peak of at least 120kts now. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs still show landfall a bit north of JTWC's (and IMD's) forecast, which could have big implications on storm surge impacts.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
The Severe Cyclonic Storm “Mocha” (pronounced as “Mokha”) over
Southeast adjoining Central Bay of Bengal moved northwards with a speed of 09
kmph during past 06 hours, intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay
centered at 0530 hours IST of today, the 12th May 2023 over Central adjoining
Southeast Bay of Bengal near latitude 13.2°N and longitude 88.1°E, about 520 km
west-northwest of Port Blair, 1010 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh)
and 930 km south-southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar).
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards and intensify further over
Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. It is likely to cross southeast Bangladesh and north
Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), close
to Sittwe (Myanmar) around noon of 14th May, 2023 as a Very Severe Cyclonic
Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 150-160 kmph gusting to 175
kmph.
Southeast adjoining Central Bay of Bengal moved northwards with a speed of 09
kmph during past 06 hours, intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay
centered at 0530 hours IST of today, the 12th May 2023 over Central adjoining
Southeast Bay of Bengal near latitude 13.2°N and longitude 88.1°E, about 520 km
west-northwest of Port Blair, 1010 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh)
and 930 km south-southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar).
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards and intensify further over
Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. It is likely to cross southeast Bangladesh and north
Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), close
to Sittwe (Myanmar) around noon of 14th May, 2023 as a Very Severe Cyclonic
Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 150-160 kmph gusting to 175
kmph.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremaly Severe Cyclonic Storm
Is now Extremaly.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremaly Severe Cyclonic Storm
Latest SSMIS microwave pass as of 22Z (right) still shows a relatively weak eastern eyewall due to easterly shear, but the overall structure has markedly improved compared to another pass 10 hours prior (left).
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
01B MOCHA 230513 0000 15.3N 89.1E IO 115 955
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremaly Severe Cyclonic Storm
That's a typo by IMD. It should be "extremely".
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
Looks like the eye will pass near/over drifting buoy 2302632 in the coming hours.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
INSAT 3D rapid scan
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