Texas Summer 2023

[rwfromkansas]

You can only get lucky so many times. That looks nasty.

[rwfromkansas]

Holy crap my home station shows 90 degrees. 78 dew point, 108 heat index. That is unheard of around here.

[Yukon Cornelius]

F

[bubba hotep]

[gpsnowman]

Holy crap my home station shows 90 degrees. 78 dew point, 108 heat index. That is unheard of around here.

It is absolutely disgusting.

[Gotwood]

Looks like they expanded the risk areas further south. Might be a rough day I heard possible straight line winds over 100mph? Let’s pray that doesn’t verify.

[rwfromkansas]

Talk of those high winds reminds me of the Kansas inland hurricane in 1990. Remember that vividly growing up. Widespread 100 mph winds (sustained…)

[HockeyTx82]

Will this be a low coverage high impact, or high coverage high impact?

It just feels like bad weather day outside.

Something tells me this will get bad later.

[Ntxw]

Will this be a low coverage high impact, or high coverage high impact?

It just feels like bad weather day outside.

Something tells me this will get bad later.

Very humid, high dewpoints.

Most of us won't see anything. A couple of cells may drop hail but isolated in nature. Oklahoma will have better coverage with MCS like squall.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Majority of the short range models I’ve looked at keep the bulk of the storms in OK. I wonder what’s with the shift South in moderate risk and medium tornado risk?

[cstrunk]

Majority of the short range models I’ve looked at keep the bulk of the storms in OK. I wonder what’s with the shift South in moderate risk and medium tornado risk?

The SPC Outlook lines up pretty well with what the HRRR has been showing very consistently for numerous runs. On the southern end it will be more hit and miss, probably more miss, until you get into NE TX. But if it does hit in NC TX, it looks pretty strong.

And yes, the air outside is oppressive. 88.5F/79.5F on my weather station for a heat index of 105F.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Majority of the short range models I’ve looked at keep the bulk of the storms in OK. I wonder what’s with the shift South in moderate risk and medium tornado risk?

The SPC Outlook lines up pretty well with what the HRRR has been showing very consistently for numerous runs. On the southern end it will be more hit and miss, probably more miss, until you get into NE TX. But if it does hit in NC TX, it looks pretty strong.

And yes, the air outside is oppressive. 88.5F/79.5F on my weather station for a heat index of 105F.

I hope up here it’s a miss. Mine is similar 93F/75.5F, heat index 105.2

[DallasAg]

Majority of the short range models I’ve looked at keep the bulk of the storms in OK. I wonder what’s with the shift South in moderate risk and medium tornado risk?

The SPC Outlook lines up pretty well with what the HRRR has been showing very consistently for numerous runs. On the southern end it will be more hit and miss, probably more miss, until you get into NE TX. But if it does hit in NC TX, it looks pretty strong.

And yes, the air outside is oppressive. 88.5F/79.5F on my weather station for a heat index of 105F.

I hope up here it’s a miss. Mine is similar 93F/75.5F, heat index 105.2

80 degree dp at DFW this hour. Holy smokes. Awful.

[bubba hotep]

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1669421966372245504

[bubba hotep]

Dr. Timmer mentioned earlier that he felt, based on the setup, coverage would be higher than what the hi-res models are showing. I tend to agree.

[bubba hotep]

With that said, the 18z HRRR keeps everything NE of all but the far outlying portions of DFW. Don't want any hail or wind damage but kept thinking that given this run of days, we would have gotten a good soaking in DFW at some point

[ElectricStorm]

Tor watch is up with crazy probs. 90/70 wind, 95/95 hail my goodness

[bubba hotep]

Cells going up in SW OK and SW of DFW, way ahead of schedule and not many runs showed storms firing SW of DFW.

[ElectricStorm]

Watch coming for TX soon it looks like

[bubba hotep]

FWD 19z special pushing 7,000