ATL: CINDY - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 93, 2023061912, , BEST, 0, 85N, 275W, 20, 1012, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 150, 75, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 008, SPAWNINVEST, al782023 to al932023,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal932023.dat

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/

[ChrisH-UK]

Red Band + Cloud Phase IR - https://col.st/E5EFz

[cycloneye]

[Beef Stew]

I was wondering when this would get tagged as 93L. It's been looking rather good today- we'll see how much it can continue to develop, but so far convection has been impressive and we're already seeing what may be some limited circulation. I tend to doubt we see any formation, ultimately- due to the proximity to 92L/future Bret- and the fact that I just can't wrap my head around the possibility of having two named MDR systems in June. But who knows what curveballs this season may have in store...

[aspen]

Ah yes, two Invests in the MDR east of 45W on June 19th. Totally normal.

[Sciencerocks]

Insanity is what this is!

[ScottNAtlanta]

There were all these pre-season forecasts that said the upward motion would not be in the Atlantic this season (some said otherwise but mostly viewed as outliers).
Hate to break it to them...but this looks like there is some upward motion in the Eastern Atlantic.

[JetFuel_SE]

There were all these pre-season forecasts that said the upward motion would not be in the Atlantic this season (some said otherwise but mostly viewed as outliers).
Hate to break it to them...but this looks like there is some upward motion in the Eastern Atlantic.

CCKW

[ElectricStorm]

Good chance this becomes Cindy imo. Back to back MDR storms in June would be wild

[LemieT]

There were all these pre-season forecasts that said the upward motion would not be in the Atlantic this season (some said otherwise but mostly viewed as outliers).
Hate to break it to them...but this looks like there is some upward motion in the Eastern Atlantic.

CCKW

Absolutley, although last year CCKW passages amounted to meek results at best. This year is another beast altogether. It is still the middle of June.

[galaxy401]

Having 2 MDR storms back to back in June will be quite the story but I don't know if this storm has a big chance. It will probably depend on how quick future Bret strengthens.

[zzzh]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1670847609148420096

[Nimbus]

Blake mentioned this area yesterday in the 92L update.

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for further development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form in a couple of days while the system
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

AL, 93, 2023061918, , BEST, 0, 85N, 290W, 20, 1012, DB

[Woofde]

Still very messy looking, but those are some impressive towers firing off.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for further development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form in a couple of days while the system
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

[cycloneye]

AL, 93, 2023062000, , BEST, 0, 85N, 303W, 20, 1012, DB