...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Storm Warning Central Tropical Atlantic Low (AL92): The axis of a
tropical wave is near 37W/38W, from 01N to 17N, and is moving W
at around 15 kt. 1009 mb low pressure is near the wave axis at
10.5N37W. Winds are currently strong north of the low-pressure
center, generating 8-11 ft seas. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is observed from 08N to 14.5N between 35W and
41W. This activity continues to becoming better organized and
environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development. A tropical depression or tropical storm is expected
to form later today or tonight. This system is forecast to move
westward at 15-20 kt across the central tropical Atlantic through
the middle part of the week. Winds are forecast to reach 35 kt or
greater by this afternoon, and then storm force by late Tue night
with a Storm Warning now in place. There is a high (90%) chance
of tropical cyclone development through the next 48 hours, and a
high (90%) chance of development through the next seven days.
Please refer to the latest Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov, for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic extends along 24W/25W
from 01W to 16W near the Cabo Verde Islands, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed west of the wave
from 04N to 11N between 26W and 31W. Some gradual development of
this system is possible through the middle to latter parts of
this week as the system moves westward at 10-15 kt across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. The current Tropical
Weather Outlook assigns a low (20%) probability of generating a
tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours, and a low (30%)
probability over the next seven days.
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends along 49W, just E of the
coast of Brazil, from 00N to 12N, moving W at 10-15 kt. No
significant convection is occurring near this wave.
A tropical wave is moving from the eastern to the central and
extends along 71W from 02N to 13N. The latest analysis indicates
that the axis of the tropical wave is located well W of previous
positions. No significant convection is occurring near this wave.
A tropical wave is mainly located over the eastern tropical
Pacific Ocean along 87W/88W, with the northern portion extending
across western Honduras to near the Gulf of Honduras, just E of
the coast of Belize, S of 18N, moving W at around 10 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the tropical wave in the
Gulf of Honduras.