Texas Summer 2023

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1181 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:32 am

Hopefully 91L brings some much needed rain down here. This should end the 100+ degree streak for McAllen. If we reach 100 today this would be the 44th consecutive day of 100+ degree day :eek:

Image
1 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4244
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1182 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:27 am

Portastorm wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Based on the latest short-range models, I think there is a decent chance that the northern outer rainbands of the Gulf tropical storm will reach as far north as the Hill Country. SA should hopefully see at least one band, and Austin could get lucky as well. Hey, at least we finally have a chance of rain again this week!


Let’s hope so. Frankly I think we need to be concerned about the fire threat tomorrow. Increased winds from the tropical system and a landscape burnt and dry as a bone. This was how the fires in 2011 started … Tropical Storm Lee moving north in Louisiana. Texas was on the dry side and had winds.


We should have quite a bit more moisture in the air tomorrow than we did with Lee in 2011. Easterly winds will help to pump in moisture from the Gulf on the northeast side of the system.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9354
Age: 22
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1183 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:35 am

Rgv20 wrote:Hopefully 91L brings some much needed rain down here. This should end the 100+ degree streak for McAllen. If we reach 100 today this would be the 44th consecutive day of 100+ degree day :eek:

https://i.imgur.com/kbgMvQJ.gif

Now PTC 9
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9354
Age: 22
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1184 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:44 am

This was yesterday, good lord.

Image
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgT5v.png
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6204
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1185 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:47 am

Almost afraid to admit it, but the 6z gfs run is one of the less terrible runs I’ve seen in a while. Still hot, but rain chances start to return after day 7.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9354
Age: 22
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1186 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:52 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:Almost afraid to admit it, but the 6z gfs run is one of the less terrible runs I’ve seen in a while. Still hot, but rain chances start to return after day 7.

The Heat dome becomes dirty, which is you want to see.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Edwards Limestone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 479
Age: 36
Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
Location: Smithson Valley, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1187 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Aug 21, 2023 12:09 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Almost afraid to admit it, but the 6z gfs run is one of the less terrible runs I’ve seen in a while. Still hot, but rain chances start to return after day 7.


I'll believe it when it happens. Otherwise, I'm just gonna assume it's gonna be like this until we start getting some frontal action.

Even PTC 9 is barely going to make a dent in this death ridge.
0 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5854
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1188 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Aug 21, 2023 1:30 pm

What are those white objects in the sky? They look vaguely familiar. I think the Old Timers called them clouds
1 likes   
Top
tajmahal
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 168
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2012 10:09 am
Location: Austin, TX area & eastern Africa

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1189 Postby tajmahal » Mon Aug 21, 2023 1:55 pm

Iceresistance wrote:This was yesterday, good lord.

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgT5v.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgT5v.png


Thank goodness those were not air temperatures.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38213
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1190 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 21, 2023 2:10 pm

tajmahal wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:This was yesterday, good lord.

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgT5v.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgT5v.png


Thank goodness those were not air temperatures.


Yeah but we're paying for all the rain we got in early August too

Heat index is 119 at the airport. We are past stupid...
Last edited by Brent on Mon Aug 21, 2023 2:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
dpep4
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 198
Joined: Sat Sep 09, 2017 9:04 pm

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1191 Postby dpep4 » Mon Aug 21, 2023 2:12 pm

Several FW and DFW Air stations are tracking 4 to 5 degrees cooler than projected. Unfortunately dew points are up, so the heat index is about the same as yesterday.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SoupBone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3111
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1192 Postby SoupBone » Mon Aug 21, 2023 2:15 pm

Tireman4 wrote:What are those white objects in the sky? They look vaguely familiar. I think the Old Timers called them clouds


Not sure, I think they might be cotton candy. wxman is in the tropical thread, poo-poo'ing on our Houston rain chances. We're so damn close to getting a few outer bands, but it looks like we're going to miss out.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Edwards Limestone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 479
Age: 36
Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
Location: Smithson Valley, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1193 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Aug 21, 2023 5:53 pm

TD 9 looks pretty lopsided and sheared out IMO...maybe we get more coverage to the north rainfall wise in SC TX?
1 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SoupBone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3111
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1194 Postby SoupBone » Mon Aug 21, 2023 7:51 pm

Edwards Limestone wrote:TD 9 looks pretty lopsided and sheared out IMO...maybe we get more coverage to the north rainfall wise in SC TX?


Well it's definitely not coming to Houston. The dry air is like a sponge. It poofs as it hits the coast.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9354
Age: 22
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1195 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:10 pm

The only thing I can say is "MY GOD!"

Image
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5047
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1196 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:20 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The only thing I can say is "MY GOD!"

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png


Lol that’s just plain stupid.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38213
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1197 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:23 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:The only thing I can say is "MY GOD!"

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png


Lol that’s just plain stupid.


We're paying for all the rain we got...

Sometimes it ain't a good thing. Like Tulsa hasn't set one record high temperature this year but yet...
Last edited by Brent on Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
tajmahal
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 168
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2012 10:09 am
Location: Austin, TX area & eastern Africa

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1198 Postby tajmahal » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:25 pm

Still some very high wet bulb temperatures in Oklahoma right now.

https://www.mesonet.org/weather/dewpoin ... e?ref=1317
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5047
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1199 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Aug 21, 2023 8:41 pm

Brent wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:The only thing I can say is "MY GOD!"

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png


Lol that’s just plain stupid.


We're paying for all the rain we got...

Sometimes it ain't a good thing. Like Tulsa hasn't set one record high temperature this year but yet...


I don’t even see how it’s possible to have feels like temps that high all the way in OK. I never would’ve thought that.
0 likes   
Top
Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1803
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1200 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Aug 21, 2023 9:04 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The only thing I can say is "MY GOD!"

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sgwm4.png

I truly hate to say it, but far North Texas welcomes y’all to the summer of hell club.
1 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: CaptinCrunch and 210 guests