ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

This is a portion from the 10 am NHC discussion of Idalia....."A mid-level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico and a ridge near the Greater Antilles should cause Idalia to move northward at a faster forward speed during the next 12 to 24 hours. After that time, an even faster north-northeast motion is expected, as another mid-level trough moves across the central and eastern portions of the United States."....so hopefully, Idalia will pass by quickly...

I noticed that second trough last night when I was looking at the models.I was curious what might happen if she missed the train and had to wait for the next one.

[jfk08c]

I've got the next two days off work. time to aggressively stare at radar on my computer screen for hours on end

[underthwx]

This is a portion from the 10 am NHC discussion of Idalia....."A mid-level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico and a ridge near the Greater Antilles should cause Idalia to move northward at a faster forward speed during the next 12 to 24 hours. After that time, an even faster north-northeast motion is expected, as another mid-level trough moves across the central and eastern portions of the United States."....so hopefully, Idalia will pass by quickly...

I noticed that second trough last night when I was looking at the models.I was curious what might happen if she missed the train and had to wait for the next one.

I too am interested in knowing what effect a scenario such as that, would have on Idalias forward motion...

[Clearcloudz]

St Petersburg High Tide causing some flooding.

 https://twitter.com/jpetramala/status/1696194309668614438

[MJGarrison]

This is a portion from the 10 am NHC discussion of Idalia....."A mid-level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico and a ridge near the Greater Antilles should cause Idalia to move northward at a faster forward speed during the next 12 to 24 hours. After that time, an even faster north-northeast motion is expected, as another mid-level trough moves across the central and eastern portions of the United States."....so hopefully, Idalia will pass by quickly...

I noticed that second trough last night when I was looking at the models.I was curious what might happen if she missed the train and had to wait for the next one.

I too am interested in knowing what effect a scenario such as that, would have on Idalias forward motion...

When I read that, I just took it to mean that Idalia would leave the scene quickly. Not that it would have a drastic effect on the track.


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[CronkPSU]

I am the department chair of social studies at my high school in Polk County and I sent out an email to my department with some tips for prepping your room for a hurricane and I got two replies, there is a storm coming?

Soooo yeah not a lot of people taking it seriously

Ironically, I'm also head of SS department, however, our district (Pasco County) has made it clear that it's time to prepare our rooms, not just for storm damage but to be used as shelters.

We just got an email from Polk County listing 20 reasons why we should be cancelled tomorrow but saying as of now only Afterschool activities are cancelled on Tuesday ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[GCANE]

Looks like it finally got off the pot and is starting to head north.

[underthwx]

I noticed that second trough last night when I was looking at the models.I was curious what might happen if she missed the train and had to wait for the next one.

I too am interested in knowing what effect a scenario such as that, would have on Idalias forward motion...

When I read that, I just took it to mean that Idalia would leave the scene quickly. Not that it would have a drastic effect on the track.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Yes, me as well. Sorry for any confusion. I was eluding solely to its motion...

[NAVAIDNICK]

I gotta tip my hat to all of you here on 2K, for providing real time, up to the minute information, for everyone in the path of this cyclone. For you members in harms way, and everyone, please be sure to take the necessary steps to protect yourselves, your families, from this storm. Even tho this cyclone is imminent, many of you in tbe path of Idalia, are busy here on the forum, providing vital information to our guests. Be sure to allow yourselves the opportunity to prepare. Yall are absolutely essential during cyclone events, and I have respect for each and everyone of yall. Thankyou for your service to the community. Be safe, be well my friends.

This forum was so helpful to me last year leading up to Ian as I'm on the Sarasota/Charlotte County line. Especially WxMan57. He sniffed out the turn earlier than anyone and that gave me a jump on my preps. Listen to the mets on here. They know what they are talking about and the information they provide can be lifesaving.

[Iceresistance]

After this morning, when is the next Recon for Idalia?

[cycloneye]

After this morning, when is the next Recon for Idalia?

4 PM NOAA and 6 PM Air Force.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Idalia still looks pretty sheared to me. CDO looks a bit like a squashed bug, with the LLC threatening to become exposed at time. More-or-less what we expected though.

[caneman]

Credit to GFS so far. After their initial bumbling they seem to be the most consistent with the left motion. As an aside, just heard that we in the Tampa Bay area have tides 1 ft. Above the norm. That's not good!

[skillz305]

What are the implications of Idalia if Franklin decides to move NNE/NE sooner than anticipated?

[Javlin]

.2' clicks N(12miles) over the last three hours could be momentary or it could be another stall?The ULL is in the way for the time being is what pushed it S a couple of days ago.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv_mid

[NAVAIDNICK]

I am the department chair of social studies at my high school in Polk County and I sent out an email to my department with some tips for prepping your room for a hurricane and I got two replies, there is a storm coming?

Soooo yeah not a lot of people taking it seriously

Ironically, I'm also head of SS department, however, our district (Pasco County) has made it clear that it's time to prepare our rooms, not just for storm damage but to be used as shelters.

We just got an email from Polk County listing 20 reasons why we should be cancelled tomorrow but saying as of now only Afterschool activities are cancelled on Tuesday ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

They just closed Sarasota County schools for Tues and Wed "out of an abundance of caution" and they are opening special needs shelters starting Tues. After school activities today are still on but everything is closed Tues/Wed.

[LandoWill]

For us here in the north tampa area. I ain't gonna lie, i am -removed- it follows their west trend they started at 11am

[dpep4]

Can breathe a little easier in St. Pete, I hope?

TWSS

(That's What Sanibel (Island) Said...this far out last year. And then....)

[skillz305]

Can breathe a little easier in St. Pete, I hope?

TWSS

(That's What Sanibel Said...this far out last year. And then....)

I believe Sanibel lost his mother during Ian. My prayers still out to him.

[MGC]

Mid level dry air has been holding back Idalia past couple of days. However, the atmosphere in the eastern GOM looks to be mixing out the dry air. Look for steady intensification the next day until Idalia is removed from the Yucatan. Idalia will be traveling along with the upper winds so little relative wind shear at the hurricane approaches the coast. RI is a real possibility with this cyclone. I've witnessed this scenario play out in the past.....Opal, Charley ect. Not saying it will happen but possible based on previous occurrences. Y'all in the path of Idalia leave if you are in a surge area please......MGC