ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1501 Postby zzzh » Mon Aug 28, 2023 3:56 pm

36H 30/0600Z 27.6N 84.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1502 Postby Hurricane2022 » Mon Aug 28, 2023 3:56 pm

NHC forecasts 105 kt before landfall
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1503 Postby zzzh » Mon Aug 28, 2023 3:56 pm

Now we have an AF plane and a noaa plane departing for Idalia :D
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1504 Postby stormhunter7 » Mon Aug 28, 2023 3:57 pm

Hurricane Warning extended westward and added tropical storm warnings Gulf County coast to Mexico Beach.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1505 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:04 pm

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1506 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:10 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1507 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:17 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1508 Postby psyclone » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:17 pm

Pretty good jump west on those track updates today. Lowered the wind probs some in west central fl
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1509 Postby Poonwalker » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:18 pm

robbielyn wrote:So now its moving more west and that is good news for the peninsula. Means business as usual, probably a Michael (child). We got nothing from michael as it passed us to the west. These storms don't like the west coast thats for sure

This is coming much closer to the west coast.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1510 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:22 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1511 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:32 pm

It looks like they are pushing back landfall as well. Last night it looked like l very very early Wednesday Morning. Now it's looking more like mid to late morning on Wednesday for a landfall, which means more time for it to strengthen.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1512 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:37 pm

Image

Definitely organizing now. The CDO has gone from taking a "squashed bug" appearance to a symmetrical one. There is still shear impacting the system, but we're finally seeing spiral banding pick up on the northern side.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1513 Postby Javlin » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:38 pm

psyclone wrote:it looks like Idalia's east weighted convective pattern is exerting a gentle rightward tug

I am thinking the ULL that's been hugging the coast for the last few days.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv_mid
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1514 Postby xironman » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:38 pm

Pretty classic look at the moment, just need to clear out the eye
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1515 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:41 pm

Yeah, I think the AF plane will find a hurricane when it gets there. I hope everybody is preparing, or already prepared and in the process of getting out of harm's way.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1516 Postby jdjaguar » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:42 pm

normally I would say the storm was shrimping, but this one is prawning!

we should see an eye soon.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1517 Postby underthwx » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:43 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Yeah, I think the AF plane will find a hurricane when it gets there. I hope everybody is preparing, or already prepared and in the process of getting out of harm's way.

Agree totally....time to hit the road....
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1518 Postby Poonwalker » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:44 pm

A wobble east could touch western tip of Cuba. Moving along now for sure.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1519 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:45 pm

Still experiencing some shear IMO, and this was shown in the models so no surprises.

saved loop
Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1520 Postby KimmieLa » Mon Aug 28, 2023 4:47 pm

tolakram wrote:Still experiencing some shear IMO, and this was shown in the models so no surprises.

saved loop


Thanks for these loops, gives us a great view of what is happening.
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