ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Coolcruiseman]

Just wanted to mention two useful tips for those in the path of the storm. Cheap flashlights can be found in Home Depot or Lowes in the landscape section, buy the solar landscape lights. They are really cheap, can be charged during the day outside, and used inside where needed. Also make sure your fence is attached to your house with Tapcons. Oftentimes the post is only cemented in the ground next to the house but not physically attached to it. In many cases it changes how the insurance carrier grants coverage. I've had many clients get the fence covered by their policy or even lose coverage of thousands of dollars for just a couple dollars of screws.

Cheaper yet (for regular flash light and solar) -Dollar Tree

Going to make note of this. Never considered that as a viable option.

[tropicwatch]

HH still passing west of the center south bound.

[Bocadude85]

Sure seems to be a East of North movement on the Cuban radar, not sure if my eyes are playing tricks on me or what but I’ve been watching that radar for awhile.

[FLpanhandle91]

We can somewhat start tracking the center on Key West radar now. This is around 46k feet up.

[Craters]

I mean, I'm no met, but this doesn't look great..... right over the center as well.

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/112d93f4e1f2365fbf9c262161501332cd31758e9f82dd792300b1392f948fd6.gif

Symmetrical blowups like that remind me of fungus or bacterial cultures really enjoying their time in a petri dish.

[tolakram]

Floater is back.

COD: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-sandwich-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

saved loop (land outlines not working)

[hipshot]

I mean, I'm no met, but this doesn't look great..... right over the center as well.

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/112d93f4e1f2365fbf9c262161501332cd31758e9f82dd792300b1392f948fd6.gif

Symmetrical blowups like that remind me of fungus or bacterial cultures really enjoying their time in a petri dish.

That does really look like someone set off a very powerful bomb, I am really curious what this will look like later tonight or in the
morning. It could be very scary.

[tropicwatch]

Floater is back.

COD: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-sandwich-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

saved loop (land outlines not working)
https://i.imgur.com/FoOTaew.gif

Hard to say but looks like a northern eyewall is forming.

[afswo]

Just wanted to mention two useful tips for those in the path of the storm. Cheap flashlights can be found in Home Depot or Lowes in the landscape section, buy the solar landscape lights. They are really cheap, can be charged during the day outside, and used inside where needed. Also make sure your fence is attached to your house with Tapcons. Oftentimes the post is only cemented in the ground next to the house but not physically attached to it. In many cases it changes how the insurance carrier grants coverage. I've had many clients get the fence covered by their policy or even lose coverage of thousands of dollars for just a couple dollars of screws.

Cheaper yet (for regular flash light and solar) -Dollar Tree

Going to make note of this. Never considered that as a viable option.

Yes, they are an excellent option and have been part of my go kit for a few years. The only drawback is unless you remove/block the battery they will all come on early. Depending on the time of year you only get a few hours use. I have "adjusted" mine to keep them from lighting up early by blocking the battery contacts but not all lights have that option.

[hipshot]

Floater is back.

COD: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-sandwich-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

saved loop (land outlines not working)
https://i.imgur.com/FoOTaew.gif

Hard to say but looks like a northern eyewall is forming.

Maybe I've been looking at my PC screen too long but I swear I saw a small eye pop out on the IR loop.

[eastcoastFL]

[ConvergenceZone]

I think it will be a hurricane by morning with the latest being noon tomorrow if it continues pulsing up and down.

[eastcoastFL]

3 days of just hanging around. I wonder how bad the weather has been for people living in Cuba and Mexico

[eastcoastFL]

I wonder if they might call her a hurricane at 5am

[chaser1]

Just wanted to mention two useful tips for those in the path of the storm. Cheap flashlights can be found in Home Depot or Lowes in the landscape section, buy the solar landscape lights. They are really cheap, can be charged during the day outside, and used inside where needed. Also make sure your fence is attached to your house with Tapcons. Oftentimes the post is only cemented in the ground next to the house but not physically attached to it. In many cases it changes how the insurance carrier grants coverage. I've had many clients get the fence covered by their policy or even lose coverage of thousands of dollars for just a couple dollars of screws.

Cheaper yet (for regular flash light and solar) -Dollar Tree

Going to make note of this. Never considered that as a viable option.

Seriously, the ultimate in cheap hurricane prep lol. Candles, canned goods, water, batteries, candy and beef jerky!!!

[eastcoastFL]

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 85.0W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Florida east coast
and the southeastern Georgia coast from Sebastian Inlet northward
to Altamaha Sound.

[MetroMike]

Maybe the models will be right and keep this whatever it is below estimates.

[ConvergenceZone]

I wonder if they might call her a hurricane at 5am

It's possible, or they may wait until latter depending upon what happens overnight. I think it will be named a hurricane before noon tomorrow though. I think it will be a strong Cat 2 at landfall. Then again there isn't much difference between a strong cat 2 and a minimal cat 3.

[eastcoastFL]

Her wind-field has really expanded today. It was just 70 miles 12 hours ago.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center. An observation in Cabo De San Antonio reported a
wind gust of 78 mph (126 km/h).

[eastcoastFL]

I wonder if they might call her a hurricane at 5am

It's possible, or they may wait until latter depending upon what happens overnight. I think it will be named a hurricane before noon tomorrow though. I think it will be a strong Cat 2 at landfall. Then again there isn't much difference between a strong cat 2 and a minimal cat 3.

I agree, by noon for sure. Won’t take much to get her there so I wouldn’t be shocked to wake up to a hurricane.