#2540 Postby Abdullah » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:35 pm
There are roughly 12 hours until landfall, which should occur around 8 AM tomorrow morning, if I'm looking at the NHC map correctly.
This suggests, depending on the rate of pressure drop, Idalia's minimum central pressure is likely to be between 917 mbar and 953 mbar.
953 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 1.0 mb / hr
947 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 1.5 mb / hr
941 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 2.0 mb / hr
935 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 2.5 mb / hr
929 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 3.0 mb / hr
923 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 3.5 mb / hr
917 mbar upon landfall - Avg. pressure drop of 4.0 mb / hr
What range is most typical for these types of systems?
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