ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2541 Postby zzzh » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:35 pm

00962 17025

960mb after conversion.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2542 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:36 pm

Teban54 wrote:
Highteeld wrote:Impressive pressure drop. Could make a case for 959 to 960 mb.

Keep in mind the low pressure bias of the NOAA plane.

Eye drop is 962/25
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2543 Postby aspen » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:36 pm

Visioen wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Eyeball now closed…should go to town now.

Nope, eyeball still open.

https://i.imgur.com/wdgeiWo.png

Look at this huge semicircle band. It won’t take much for that to wrap around the tiny eye and at least attempt to start an EWRC right before landfall.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2544 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:38 pm

Eye rapidly warming on IR
Looks like a pinhole to me
Last edited by GCANE on Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2545 Postby NDG » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:39 pm

What a pinhole eye.

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2546 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:41 pm

Dam, hate to see this but that’s a pinhole eye folks.

Image
Last edited by SFLcane on Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2547 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:41 pm

It reminds me of Dennis 2004z
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2548 Postby Highteeld » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:41 pm

Image
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2549 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:43 pm

VDM still has a ragged eye and open to the W
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2550 Postby NDG » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:43 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2551 Postby Highteeld » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:43 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:VDM still has a ragged eye and open to the W

Radar supported that about 20 minutes ago. Looking a bit fuller now
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2552 Postby Keldeo1997 » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:43 pm

Image


hmmmm
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2553 Postby caneman » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:43 pm

Waterspout off Manasota key moving North
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2554 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:44 pm

Based on what I was seeing yesterday with insane CAPE values in the east GOM and now relatively low values away from Idalia coupled with 4000 in the core, I would saw Idalia sucked it all into its core.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2555 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:45 pm

Highteeld wrote:
ElectricStorm wrote:VDM still has a ragged eye and open to the W

Radar supported that about 20 minutes ago. Looking a bit fuller now

Yeah I agree
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2556 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:45 pm

Am I late to the pinhole train?
This seriously means we could get a cat 5 outta this if it deepens fast enough.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2557 Postby Highteeld » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:46 pm

Pinhole eye looking more obvious by the minute

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2558 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:47 pm

saved loop
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2559 Postby Chris90 » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:47 pm

Highteeld wrote:Dry air shows itself again. May take a couple hours to mix it out.

https://i.imgur.com/95nVsSJ.png


I think you might be reading the dropsondes wrong. It's not showing dry air. As the sonde descends it is showing 90% - 79% - 96% relative humidity. It's not dry.

I think you may be looking at the purple colors and thinking the lighter colors are indicating drier air. The purples just get darker the stronger the winds get the way TT depicts them.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2560 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:48 pm

Relatively weak STP now in Tampa Bay and south inland.
Expect this to quickly ramp up with the heavy band coming onshore
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