ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

Insane rain rate in that N quad, approaching 60mm/hr. wow

[ConvergenceZone]

So glad this is coming into less populated areas....I can't imagine something this strong hitting Tampa....

[TheDreamTraveler]

So glad this is coming into less populated areas....I can't imagine something this strong hitting Tampa....

Tampa got lucky missing a direct hit from Ian last year and now missed a direct hit from Idalia this year lol. Insanely good luck

[ElectricStorm]

Eye drop supports around 946mb

[CrazyC83]

Pressure has dropped a lot, but the winds haven't responded completely yet. However, I would suspect they will catch up soon. Especially if it keeps deepening into the 930s or lower. Same happened with Ida.

[ElectricStorm]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Idalia Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 84.5W
ABOUT 100 MI...175 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES

[IcyTundra]

People are going to be surprised when they wake up tomorrow morning.

[cheezyWXguy]

Pressure has dropped a lot, but the winds haven't responded completely yet. However, I would suspect they will catch up soon. Especially if it keeps deepening into the 930s or lower. Same happened with Ida.

It looks to me like radar velocities, especially over the eastern and southern quadrants have come up about 15mph in the last 45 min or so. I think the catch-up may be starting, but I guess we’ll see what recon finds

[galaxy401]

People are going to be surprised when they wake up tomorrow morning.

I remember with Ian going to bed when it just became a Cat 3. Woke up to it nearly a Cat 5 (actually did briefly). Hope that doesn't repeat overnight...

[Clearcloudz]

[Poonwalker]

So glad this is coming into less populated areas....I can't imagine something this strong hitting Tampa....

Tampa got lucky missing a direct hit from Ian last year and now missed a direct hit from Idalia this year lol. Insanely good luck

It would be a disaster of epic proportion.

[Sciencerocks]

wow, look at that strong el nino gulf hurricane!!! I suspect that we'll probably see strengthening of it over the next few hours with pressures into the 930's.

[MarioProtVI]

Next pass will be interesting, could find cat 4 support

[Sciencerocks]

[Jr0d]

The surge may be some of the highest recorded in Florida history as the Big Bend is extremely vulnerable. Fortunately this area is not densely populated.

I do feel a sense a relief now that the eye wall will miss Tampa Bay.

[Teban54]

wow, look at that strong el nino gulf hurricane!!! I suspect that we'll probably see strengthening of it over the next few hours with pressures into the 930's.

Ironically, both major hurricanes of the season so far had their genesis in the Caribbean, which many people thought would be completely shut down by El Nino. At least eastern Gulf was still on the cards of some people here

[Bocadude85]

She looks to have made the turn to the NNE, she’s right on the NHC track.

[canebeard]

My old chasing buddy Jim Leonard often said about the current hurricane just offshore: "They almost always do something stupid in the last few hours before landfall." Like stall, take a sharp turn for a few hours, change intensity suddenly, etc. We'll see.

[Bocadude85]

My old chasing buddy Jim Leonard often said about the current hurricane just offshore: "They almost always do something stupid in the last few hours before landfall." Like stall, take a sharp turn for a few hours, change intensity suddenly, etc. We'll see.

Well she is taking a good jog to the east currently

[CryHavoc]

A few dapples of WMG, eyewall isn't quite symmetrical with convection yet, but definitely looking more intense than just a few hours ago.