Tropical Wave off the African Coast (Is Invest 98L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Has been introduced.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Coming off a high latitude, is this what GFS has been tagging the past few runs?
Because this is the Euro
https://x.com/dmorris9661/status/170098 ... kYaGjp4Rdw
Because this is the Euro
https://x.com/dmorris9661/status/170098 ... kYaGjp4Rdw
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
18z GFS.... 
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Category5Kaiju wrote:18z GFS....
No doom run. There is too much trough even for the 18z. That should tell you something.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Category5Kaiju wrote:18z GFS....
looks very familiar......
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AutoPenalti
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
LMFAO GFS is a literal carbon copy of Lee. Oh man.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic just
west of the coast of Africa is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the latter part of this week, and
a tropical depression could form by next weekend as it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
west of the coast of Africa is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the latter part of this week, and
a tropical depression could form by next weekend as it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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SFLcane
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
AutoPenalti wrote:LMFAO GFS is a literal carbon copy of Lee. Oh man.
Invisible wall at 70w anything from the east this season.
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Re: RE: Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Cape Cod would not be pleased at all if that really occurred. We've seen storms hit twice in short periods of time before though (Eta & Iota is a recent example). Sometimes, the pattern just holds up.AutoPenalti wrote:LMFAO GFS is a literal carbon copy of Lee. Oh man.
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Tekken_Guy
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Re: RE: Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Woofde wrote:Cape Cod would not be pleased at all if that really occurred. We've seen storms hit twice in short periods of time before though (Eta & Iota is a recent example). Sometimes, the pattern just holds up.AutoPenalti wrote:LMFAO GFS is a literal carbon copy of Lee. Oh man.
Frances and Jeanne.
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Blown Away
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
18z GEFS… Pretty big shift W towards Caribbean & SE Bahamas…
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
between the Cabo Verde Islands and the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
between the Cabo Verde Islands and the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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AutoPenalti
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
Blown Away wrote:
18z GEFS… Pretty big shift W towards Caribbean & SE Bahamas…
Big shift back East although one member takes it very close to the Florida coast.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast
AutoPenalti wrote:Blown Away wrote:[url]https://i.postimg.cc/4xqGvZYP/gfs-ememb-lowlocs-watl-fh228-trend.gif [/url]
18z GEFS… Pretty big shift W towards Caribbean & SE Bahamas…
Big shift back East although one member takes it very close to the Florida coast.
yup, this may ultimately take a similar path as lee or franklin, according to the 6z gfs
12z gfs brings this way further west now, just east of bahamas....beginning to turn north as trough swoops in
wow trough gets cut off in the southeast while high pressure blocks it from turning out, could push west into long island!
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off the African Coast (Is Invest 98L)
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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