Texas Fall 2023

[bubba hotep]

Weird SPC is still widespread with tomorrow’s likely non-event for DFW.

Euro and Canadian are still on board. Also, the HREF looked pretty good and SPC puts a lot of weight on that. The American Hi-res models will also pull storms back West as the window to the event closes, so maybe we are still a go for DFW.

[Brent]

Enhanced risk here. Hopefully not anything like Father's Day

[South Texas Storms]

101 at DFW this afternoon. Brutal.

[Cpv17]

101 at DFW this afternoon. Brutal.

I hit 99 but the heat index is back to ridiculous levels again.

[Gotwood]

101 with a 110 or higher heat index I feel sick being outside all day this feels like it did in July. It’s been hot lately but it was dry this is unbearable.

[gpsnowman]

101 at DFW this afternoon. Brutal.

Another record I believe. This sucks, I want fall weather.

[Ghost0321]

101 but at least with the sun being at a lower angle in the sky, it doesn’t feel as brutal as 101 would feel like during July/August

[Yukon Cornelius]

So much for the end of the 100s. Made it to 103 today.

[Brent]

Storms just blew up on top of us wow. Fortunately nothing too severe besides the storm earlier south of me so far

[869MB]

I find it kind of interesting that we’re still experiencing SST’s at or exceeding 30 Degrees Celsius in the Western & Northwestern Gulf of Mexico going into the last week of September…

[Iceresistance]

Took these pictures a couple of hours ago


https://s10.gifyu.com/images/S4VQL.jpg


https://s10.gifyu.com/images/S4VQx.jpg


https://s10.gifyu.com/images/S4VQK.jpg

[Ntxw]

Heat continues...

[HockeyTx82]

It today looking like more a DFW S and SE event?

Trying to plan some outdoor activities in Denton today.

[rwfromkansas]

I wasn’t going to complain about 90s but it’s likely today we will reach 102-103. This sucks. Please make it stop.

And likely rain appears south of much of DFW.

[IcyTundra]

I find it kind of interesting that we’re still experiencing SST’s at or exceeding 30 Degrees Celsius in the Western & Northwestern Gulf of Mexico going into the last week of September…

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_sst_watl_1.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_watl_1.png

Thankfully we are about to head into October where it is rare for the Texas coast to get hit by a tropical cyclone.

[bubba hotep]

Euro Weeklies still show a cooler, wetter pattern coming up, and the CPC Dec-Jan-Feb forecast is currently normal temps with above normal precipitation. Hopefully, some of that is snow and not cold rain!

[Cpv17]

I find it kind of interesting that we’re still experiencing SST’s at or exceeding 30 Degrees Celsius in the Western & Northwestern Gulf of Mexico going into the last week of September…

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_sst_watl_1.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_watl_1.png

Thankfully we are about to head into October where it is rare for the Texas coast to get hit by a tropical cyclone.

I’d take a Cat 1 in a heartbeat.

[rwfromkansas]

Larry Cosgrove shows monthlies not looking as good as they did a month ago. October still warm but probably a cooler second half.

November ok at least but it’s December that finally shows a real switch to El Niño. That’s a long wait.

[HockeyTx82]

Larry Cosgrove shows monthlies not looking as good as they did a month ago. October still warm but probably a cooler second half.

November ok at least but it’s December that finally shows a real switch to El Niño. That’s a long wait.

It's always two months out.

I'd gladly pay you tomorrow for a hamburger today........

[Brent]

Well the TWC app does have somewhat cooler/more normal temps after the first couple days of October so far. Well see if it holds up. I'm not holding my breath but it has been showing up for a couple days now

Not seeing many rain chances though