Texas Fall 2023

[Yukon Cornelius]

[cstrunk]

90+ here for at least the next 4 days, maybe more. No signs of this changing until at least October 5th or so. Ridiculous

90F+ here for the next 7 days in the NWS forecast.

And no rain.

Pretty soon it'll be "change is coming in November"...

[Ntxw]

DFW will likely finish out 2nd hottest September after 2019.

[Iceresistance]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/hskZw03/IMG-4431.jpg [/url]

But, what about this?


https://s6.gifyu.com/images/S418D.gif

[Iceresistance]

Daily SOI is STILL running negative, since Mid-August!

It will eventually show itself in October, be ready for the deluge!

[Itryatgolf]

Daily SOI is STILL running negative, since Mid-August!

It will eventually show itself in October, be ready for the deluge!

We have a ways to go before we get a legitimate cool down. Back in 2019, it was really warm in September and we know how that winter turned out Hopefully the niño will kick in sooner rather than later

[starsfan65]

Daily SOI is STILL running negative, since Mid-August!

It will eventually show itself in October, be ready for the deluge!

It will get cooler soon.

[Itryatgolf]

Daily SOI is STILL running negative, since Mid-August!

It will eventually show itself in October, be ready for the deluge!

We have a ways to go before we get a legitimate cool down. Back in 2019, it was really warm in September and we know how that winter turned out Hopefully the niño will kick in sooner rather than later

I would take a warmest fall on record to have a cold winter every year

[Edwards Limestone]

This is shaping up to be a miserable fall. It's one thing to be hot and humid, but when it doesn't rain when we and where need it badly- it compounds everything.

Hopefully this isn't the new normal with GoM and Atlantic water temps so high.

[Ntxw]

Daily SOI is STILL running negative, since Mid-August!

It will eventually show itself in October, be ready for the deluge!

We have a ways to go before we get a legitimate cool down. Back in 2019, it was really warm in September and we know how that winter turned out Hopefully the niño will kick in sooner rather than later

I would take a warmest fall on record to have a cold winter every year

Unfortunately it's warm Fall, warm winter, warm spring, HOT summer most of the time with sprinkles of cold days in between . And all this is an already warmer moving average baseline.

I'm still on the boat of an interesting winter with the kind of El Nino/PDO in place, but there's this eery feeling that the hot oceans + hot land is going to bite us again. At this point, I can accept normal, been beaten to submission.

[bubba hotep]

[Ntxw]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092712/gfs_T850a_namer_42.png

GFS/CMC/and EPS brings on the Aleutian low (El Nino pattern) that helps to kick off the change. Lets see if we can string together some good runs. They have been at least cooling W-Can of late (model wise.)

[SoupBone]

We have a ways to go before we get a legitimate cool down. Back in 2019, it was really warm in September and we know how that winter turned out Hopefully the niño will kick in sooner rather than later

I would take a warmest fall on record to have a cold winter every year

Unfortunately it's warm Fall, warm winter, warm spring, HOT summer most of the time with sprinkles of cold days in between . And all this is an already warmer moving average baseline.

I'm still on the boat of an interesting winter with the kind of El Nino/PDO in place, but there's this eery feeling that the hot oceans + hot land is going to bite us again. At this point, I can accept normal, been beaten to submission.

I'm at a point where I'm seriously considering moving to escape this mess. I don't want brutal Winters either, but this year's Summer has truly gotten to me. I cycle and run several days a week, and usually the Summer months aren't that big of a deal. But trying to run at 9pm and it's still 99 degrees just isn't cutting it, also not accounting for not being able to sleep from running so late at night. Mornings this Summer were only slightly better.

[Yukon Cornelius]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/hskZw03/IMG-4431.jpg [/url]

But, what about this?

https://s6.gifyu.com/images/S418D.gif
https://s6.gifyu.com/images/S418D.gif

I hope but I’ll believe it when I see it. Heat is basically guaranteed, rain hardly ever is anymore.

[TropicalTundra]

GFS and CMC bringing down the wave of cool 10 days out. Most definitely will surely verify after this atrocious September.

[Portastorm]

I would take a warmest fall on record to have a cold winter every year

Unfortunately it's warm Fall, warm winter, warm spring, HOT summer most of the time with sprinkles of cold days in between . And all this is an already warmer moving average baseline.

I'm still on the boat of an interesting winter with the kind of El Nino/PDO in place, but there's this eery feeling that the hot oceans + hot land is going to bite us again. At this point, I can accept normal, been beaten to submission.

I'm at a point where I'm seriously considering moving to escape this mess. I don't want brutal Winters either, but this year's Summer has truly gotten to me. I cycle and run several days a week, and usually the Summer months aren't that big of a deal. But trying to run at 9pm and it's still 99 degrees just isn't cutting it, also not accounting for not being able to sleep from running so late at night. Mornings this Summer were only slightly better.

Agreed! This summer in Austin offered no relief whether it was early morning or evening. I have two large dogs that enjoy and require walking as does their owner. We used to be able to go at 6:15-6:30 a.m. to beat the heat on our usual 2-mile trek. This past summer almost every morning was 78 degrees or warmer with high, suffocating humidity. We were lucky to average two days a week thanks to the gross weather.

If this is the new "normal" we're all in big trouble.

[Iceresistance]

Unfortunately it's warm Fall, warm winter, warm spring, HOT summer most of the time with sprinkles of cold days in between . And all this is an already warmer moving average baseline.

I'm still on the boat of an interesting winter with the kind of El Nino/PDO in place, but there's this eery feeling that the hot oceans + hot land is going to bite us again. At this point, I can accept normal, been beaten to submission.

I'm at a point where I'm seriously considering moving to escape this mess. I don't want brutal Winters either, but this year's Summer has truly gotten to me. I cycle and run several days a week, and usually the Summer months aren't that big of a deal. But trying to run at 9pm and it's still 99 degrees just isn't cutting it, also not accounting for not being able to sleep from running so late at night. Mornings this Summer were only slightly better.

Agreed! This summer in Austin offered no relief whether it was early morning or evening. I have two large dogs that enjoy and require walking as does their owner. We used to be able to go at 6:15-6:30 a.m. to beat the heat on our usual 2-mile trek. This past summer almost every morning was 78 degrees or warmer with high, suffocating humidity. We were lucky to average two days a week thanks to the gross weather.

If this is the new "normal" we're all in big trouble.

It may be the New Normal for a while, I have never recalled consistent +80°F Dewpoints in Central Oklahoma. Sure, I had 80°F Dewpoints before, but they were not as consistent as this year. When the Tonga Volcano exploded in January 2022, it produced an ABSURD amount of Water Vapor into the atmosphere!

[rwfromkansas]

Larry Cosgrove seemed to offer a glimmer of hope on FB after the first week of October or so. Hope so. I try to just deal with it, but it is just draining for people like us that like varied weather and cooler temps.

[Ntxw]

1040s cold high on the Euro will do it.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I would take a warmest fall on record to have a cold winter every year

Unfortunately it's warm Fall, warm winter, warm spring, HOT summer most of the time with sprinkles of cold days in between . And all this is an already warmer moving average baseline.

I'm still on the boat of an interesting winter with the kind of El Nino/PDO in place, but there's this eery feeling that the hot oceans + hot land is going to bite us again. At this point, I can accept normal, been beaten to submission.

I'm at a point where I'm seriously considering moving to escape this mess. I don't want brutal Winters either, but this year's Summer has truly gotten to me. I cycle and run several days a week, and usually the Summer months aren't that big of a deal. But trying to run at 9pm and it's still 99 degrees just isn't cutting it, also not accounting for not being able to sleep from running so late at night. Mornings this Summer were only slightly better.

It was a factor in me moving. I've felt really bad for you guys down there all summer.