EPAC: LIDIA - Remnants - Discussion

[cheezyWXguy]

Eye temps look to be positive now on IR, more than likely a cat4

[MarioProtVI]

Eye temps look to be positive now on IR, more than likely a cat4

NHC agrees:

...LIDIA STRENGTHENS INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...

Recent satellite data indicate that Lidia has continued to rapidly
strengthen and has estimated maximum winds near 140 mph (220 km/h).
Lidia is now a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. The minimum pressure is estimated to be 942 mb (27.82 in.).
Some additional strengthening is possible before Lidia makes
landfall this evening.

SUMMARY OF 330 PM MDT...2130 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 106.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SW OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

[ElectricStorm]

Might challenge Patricia for strongest Mexico landfall from an EPAC storm. I believe Patricia was 130kts at landfall

[Hurricane2022]

Fun fact: Lidia reached WMG eye much faster than Bolaven.

[Yellow Evan]

Full on T7.0 instanteously.

[MarioProtVI]

No coincidence.  https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1711854020703203457

[HurricaneRyan]

How populated is the area Lidia hitting? I don't know if this will be a Michael or an Idalia type situation but definitely alarming that we have a Cat 4 heading to Mexico with no signs of weakening!

[Nimbus]

Puerto Vallarta has a lot of older multi story hotels right on the beach so this isn't going to end well.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Lidia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152023
330 PM MDT Tue Oct 10 2023

...LIDIA STRENGTHENS INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...

Recent satellite data indicate that Lidia has continued to rapidly
strengthen and has estimated maximum winds near 140 mph (220 km/h).
Lidia is now a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. The minimum pressure is estimated to be 942 mb (27.82 in.).
Some additional strengthening is possible before Lidia makes
landfall this evening.

SUMMARY OF 330 PM MDT...2130 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 106.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SW OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Brown

[aspen]

I was about to write this off as Pamela 2.0 yesterday. Now this might be a Cat 4 Mexico landfall (the eye is less defined in recent frames so it might have peaked). Really getting Michael and Ian vibes from this, a storm that managed to align itself with the shear just right to get ventilated and RI near landfall.

[Yellow Evan]

This should pass south of Puerto Vallarta by a bit based on current motion but surge could be a bit issue given how the bay is shaped (though without any models in front of me I don’t want to say anything definitive).

[tolakram]

COD Floater
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso4-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

HAFS-B, I started at -9. This is the very latest run.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lidia Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152023
600 PM MDT Tue Oct 10 2023

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LIDIA MAKES LANDFALL
IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND
OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 105.5W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSW OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

[wxman57]

The area where Lidia is making landfall has a significant mountain range right up the coast - the Sierra Madre Occidentals. Mountains + hurricanes = tremendously rapid weakening at landfall. It'll weaken to a remnant low about 6 hours after landfall.

[jasons2k]

I have a buddy with a place in old town PV. Hope his place is OK. He’s supposed to fly down Sunday.

[jasons2k]

From my friend:

Just checked …camera still on and working at house…which means power and internet

[Hurricane Mike]

With a 140 mph landfall, Lidia is now tied for third strongest wind hurricane on the Pacific side of Mexico.

[Ianswfl]

With a 140 mph landfall, Lidia is now tied for third strongest wind hurricane on the Pacific side of Mexico.

https://i.ibb.co/ZT7Lbqz/Snapshot-231010205438.png

I'm sure there has been more cat3s and cat4 and maybe even cat5 landfalls than that. No way of really knowing before satellites and no recon or obs.

[Hurricane Mike]

Video Update on Hurricane Lidia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ODCCTfpogWc

[Astromanía]

Currently on mazatlan thank god it didn't made landfall here but the waves were so strong!, third strongest hurricane to make landfall in Mexico from the Pacific one year apart of Roslyn former strongest storm to make landfall since Patricia