EPAC: OTIS - Aftermath - Discussion
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Yikes! This has all the recipes to be a major disaster. Unexpected explosive RI near the coast, and heading for potential category 5 landfall near a major city that only ~24 hours ago was expecting a tropical storm. Not to mention that it's extremely rare for them to experience a hurricane of this magnitude.
Last edited by doomhaMwx on Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
doomhaMwx wrote:Yikes! This has all the recipes to be a major disaster. Unexpected explosive RI near the coast, and heading for potential category 5 landfall near a major city that only ~24 hours ago was expecting a tropical storm.
Indeed, what Otis has done today and will do tomorrow morning is beyond nuts. I'm afraid today & tomorrow October 25 will be remembered for a long time.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
He is going more east!!!!
Last edited by Astromanía on Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Astromanía wrote:He is going more east!!!!
To Acapulco?
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
The eye has been cooling over the last several frames. Perhaps some of the moderate shear is taking its toll just in time to prevent a Cat 5 landfall? It’ll still likely be 110-115 kt unless shear really picks up, though.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
cycloneye wrote:Astromanía wrote:He is going more east!!!!
To Acapulco?
Yes
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
aspen wrote:The eye has been cooling over the last several frames. Perhaps some of the moderate shear is taking its toll just in time to prevent a Cat 5 landfall? It’ll still likely be 110-115 kt unless shear really picks up, though.
??? What cooling?
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
This situation in Acapulco is very sad, a city that marked my childhood when it appeared in the famous Mexican series Chavo del 8...
May this beautiful city and the others that are in the middle of the path of this monster called Otis be able to suffer as little damage as possible and also that no life be taken

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May this beautiful city and the others that are in the middle of the path of this monster called Otis be able to suffer as little damage as possible and also that no life be taken
Last edited by Hurricane2022 on Wed Nov 15, 2023 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
floater:
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso3-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso3-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Popped in after having been so busy and with less to watch until now. This is just frightening to say the least. Truly a worst case scenario brewing.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
I just spotted this message from Discord, this is making me very, very worried...
He lives in Acapulco, the boarded up areas are just for the hotel area, they are also doing things as if Otis is not coming...

He lives in Acapulco, the boarded up areas are just for the hotel area, they are also doing things as if Otis is not coming...

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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Hadn't been following but wow. What a shock...but El Nino in October was always a huge risk to the west MX coast. Prayers to them.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
We must remember there are about 1 million people in the Acapulco metro area. That's not much fewer than in the New Orleans metro. This would be like a tropical storm in the central Gulf rapidly charging up to category 4-5 as it came right into the marshlands within 150 miles of the coast.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
8 years ago, it was Patricia. Now it is Otis. El Nino Octobers in the EPAC can truly be relentless.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Absolutely unreal intensification spurt. To think it was only forecast to be a tropical storm at landfall just days ago.


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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E - Discussion
Couldn't have been more wrong.
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:This one's a male? Yet another tropical storm.
Otis wants to keep the pattern of major female - TS male alive.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Absolutely unreal intensification spurt. To think it was only forecast to be a tropical storm at landfall just days ago.
https://i.imgur.com/z01Tdnc.png
If that eye can warm up, it could easily become a *strong* cat 5, like 175+ mph.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall
Has the pinhole eye and very cold tops. Very intense storm.


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