EPAC: INVEST 93E - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

EP, 93, 2023102818, , BEST, 0, 75N, 1184W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 90, 30, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 031,

[ElectricStorm]

2. Southwestern East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located well to the south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
shower and thunderstorm activity that has become a little better
organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are marginally
conducive for further slow development through the middle of next
week while the low drifts slowly northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

Southwestern East Pacific (EP93):
An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions are marginally conducive for slow development of this
system through the middle of the week while the low drifts
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

Southwestern East Pacific (EP93):
An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower activity. This system has not become any
better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions are
forecast to become less conducive for development during the next
couple of days while the low drifts generally northeastward. By
the middle of the week, upper-level winds are forecast to become
unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[cycloneye]

Southwestern East Pacific (EP93):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 900 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. This system
has not become any better organized since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly
unfavorable for development during the next day or two while the
low drifts generally northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[cycloneye]

Central East Pacific (EP93):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has
become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the
thunderstorm activity remains limited and displaced well to the
north of the circulation center. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for development during
the next day or two, and significant development of this system
appears unlikely as it meanders over the central portion of the
eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

Bye.

Central East Pacific (EP93):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for
development during the next day or so, and significant development
of this system is not expected as it meanders over the central
portion of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.