Texas Fall 2023

[Gotwood]

I disagree that Arizona didn’t deserve to be there. They had to win 3 series against really good teams. They have a good team with an old school mentality they are fun to watch and will be in the conversation for years to come.

I meant they should not have been in the playoffs because of their regular season. They barely finished above .500 and at no point did they look like a contender. But baseball lets too many teams in the playoffs now, and there's so much variance in a short series that anyone can make a run. (Historicaly if you're the #1 seed, you're more likely to lose in the first round than you are to reach the World Series. Happened in both leagues again this year.) The problem is with the gatekeeping or lack thereof.

RELATED TO WEATHER: The Diamondbacks have never been affected by Arizona weather because they can close the roof

Yeah I agree with that. Same was said in 2012 but when you play 162 regular season games I don’t hate that they included another wild card team as it adds to the drama. At least it’s not a one game playoff anymore for the wildcard lol.

[HockeyTx82]

I disagree that Arizona didn’t deserve to be there. They had to win 3 series against really good teams. They have a good team with an old school mentality they are fun to watch and will be in the conversation for years to come.

I meant they should not have been in the playoffs because of their regular season. They barely finished above .500 and at no point did they look like a contender. But baseball lets too many teams in the playoffs now, and there's so much variance in a short series that anyone can make a run. (Historicaly if you're the #1 seed, you're more likely to lose in the first round than you are to reach the World Series. Happened in both leagues again this year.) The problem is with the gatekeeping or lack thereof.

RELATED TO WEATHER: The Diamondbacks have never been affected by Arizona weather because they can close the roof

Yeah I agree with that. Same was said in 2012 but when you play 162 regular season games I don’t hate that they included another wild card team as it adds to the drama. At least it’s not a one game playoff anymore for the wildcard lol.

If you and your team don't like the fact that wildcard teams knock out higher ranking teams that have home field advantage then play better.

Why so much east and west coast bias in sports and weather?

[Iceresistance]

Yes


https://s6.gifyu.com/images/S8ifd.png

[lukem]

As many have mentioned, the GFS is continuing to bring in a big slug of Pacific moisture into Texas. It looks like the rain gets here next Saturday and hangs around for several days. The 6Z is showing heavy rain amounts for much of Texas and Oklahoma. With the colder temperatures, we are still drying out from the last system. We've already seen significant drought improvement in October.

[Cpv17]

As many have mentioned, the GFS is continuing to bring in a big slug of Pacific moisture into Texas. It looks like the rain gets here next Saturday and hangs around for several days. The 6Z is showing heavy rain amounts for much of Texas and Oklahoma. With the colder temperatures, we are still drying out from the last system. We've already seen significant drought improvement in October.

I haven’t gotten much of anything down here in southeast Texas as of late. Send it this way.

[vbhoutex]

As many have mentioned, the GFS is continuing to bring in a big slug of Pacific moisture into Texas. It looks like the rain gets here next Saturday and hangs around for several days. The 6Z is showing heavy rain amounts for much of Texas and Oklahoma. With the colder temperatures, we are still drying out from the last system. We've already seen significant drought improvement in October.

I haven’t gotten much of anything down here in southeast Texas as of late. Send it this way.

Ditto!!

[weatherdude1108]

As many have mentioned, the GFS is continuing to bring in a big slug of Pacific moisture into Texas. It looks like the rain gets here next Saturday and hangs around for several days. The 6Z is showing heavy rain amounts for much of Texas and Oklahoma. With the colder temperatures, we are still drying out from the last system. We've already seen significant drought improvement in October.

I haven’t gotten much of anything down here in southeast Texas as of late. Send it this way.

Bummer about SE Texas. It's usually us that gets the donut hole. My yard is still muddy from the past rain event, though slowly drying (vegetation and grass are happy). Travis lake level rose between 5' and 6'. Buchanan rose about 2'.

Travis is still about 48 feet below its full level (after which it gets into its flood pool level). We can easily take a few more heavy rounds in the hill country.

[bubba hotep]

Maybe more rain for South Texas with this event vs. the last one

[Itryatgolf]

Maybe more rain for South Texas with this event vs. the last one

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023110312/240/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Most models are converging on a decent rain event in the 9-10 day timeframe. Most could use a little more rain. Especially my area in West Tennessee

[tajmahal]

Since October 24, Lake Travis has risen 5.24 feet and Lake Buchanan 1.90 feet, although Travis has resumed dropping.

More important, however, is the amount of water in their conservation pools. Combined, that has increaaed 10.1 percent since October 24. But it is still far below the amount needed (consistently at least 900,000 acre–feet) to move back to Stage 1 water conservation measures.

[tajmahal]

The PDO index for October 2023 was –2.36. That was the sixth lowest October index on record (1854–2023).

[Ntxw]

Somewhat mild start to November cometh. Pacific pattern looks La Nina-y with Aleutian ridge for a time.

[Itryatgolf]

Somewhat mild start to November cometh. Pacific pattern looks La Nina-y with Aleutian ridge for a time.

I think we will see niña conditions until the AAM goes positive. It's negative currently.

[starsfan65]

Somewhat mild start to November cometh. Pacific pattern looks La Nina-y with Aleutian ridge for a time.

How long will it last?

[Texas Snow]

Maybe more rain for South Texas with this event vs. the last one

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023110312/240/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Euro has backed way off from these 240 totals as pattern looks more progressive. GFS still has some rain hanging around for S. Texas this weekend whereas Euro is now dry.

[bubba hotep]

Maybe more rain for South Texas with this event vs. the last one

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023110312/240/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Euro has backed way off from these 240 totals as pattern looks more progressive. GFS still has some rain hanging around for S. Texas this weekend whereas Euro is now dry.

Yep, see the post by Ntxw above. Hope this is temporary, but we might be stuck in a winter that can't decide if it wants to be Nino or Nina like.

[utpmg]

Headed to Big Bend Ranch SP at the end of the week; trying to figure out what the weather will be like Sat-Tuesday. Looks like a front coming through right before that, but nothing too severe or at all wet. (I've been there a dozen times so I'm pretty familiar with normals.)

(Obligatory baseball comment: Yay Rangers; but the value of winning the pennant has been diluted since they started the "playoffs" in '69.)

[IcyTundra]

No cold front in sight for the next 2 weeks. A bit too warm for my liking. Hopefully we get a cold snap for Thanksgiving.

[Cpv17]

No cold front in sight for the next 2 weeks. A bit too warm for my liking. Hopefully we get a cold snap for Thanksgiving.

Me personally, as long as we get some rain, I’m good. Haven’t gotten much of anything in the past few weeks here in Wharton County.

[Ntxw]

If you're looking for a pattern shift, the long range EPS/GEFS ensembles 500mb height rises over western North America and Gulf of Alaska. That would be a good EPO pattern and change up the Aleutians leading up near ~20th. Long way out though.