Texas Winter 2023-2024

[bubba hotep]

18z GFS fully turns on the El Nino fire hose!

[Cpv17]

18z GFS fully turns on the El Nino fire hose!

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2023121318/384/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Shift that 100 miles west so our friends in the SA area (where the drought is the worst) can get in on more of the action and I’ll take it.

[Quixotic]

It’s coming.

[Cpv17]

I like the look of the NAO but the EPO doesn’t really look to cooperate anytime soon. So yeah, I definitely see some chances for some cooler weather and rain, but I don’t see any real cold on the table yet. Maybe areas in NTX and OK can cash in on some wintry stuff but anything south of I-20 might have to wait till the EPO can help us.

[weatherdude1108]

18z GFS fully turns on the El Nino fire hose!

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2023121318/384/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Shift that 100 miles west so our friends in the SA area (where the drought is the worst) can get in on more of the action and I’ll take it.

Yeah, the AUS metro went from projected 2 to 3" rain a few days ago, to "Lucky if we get 0.5"" on today's projection.


What a "Super Niño" this has been!

[weatherdude1108]

Hmmm. Came across this today. Hoping it's just a blip.

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... recast.amp

[cstrunk]

Just like Johnny Cash in Ring of Fire, QPF keeps going down, down, down, and the get higher...

[rwfromkansas]

Hmmm. Came across this today. Hoping it's just a blip.

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... recast.amp

Hard to trust media articles on weather. And I’m a journalism teacher…

But, models have shown it weakening quickly. They also have shown this for months even as it was strengthening.

Heck, you see that at the end. When it’s supposed to be weakening it’s still getting stronger.

Rather exaggerated piece.

[weatherdude1108]

Hmmm. Came across this today. Hoping it's just a blip.

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... recast.amp

Hard to trust media articles on weather. And I’m a journalism teacher…

But, models have shown it weakening quickly. They also have shown this for months even as it was strengthening.

Heck, you see that at the end. When it’s supposed to be weakening it’s still getting stronger.

Rather exaggerated piece.

Yeah, it was one of those articles that popped up on the bottom of my browser, I guess because I've been searching "El Nino", etc. Click bait.lol So much sensational journalism these days to distract from the science.

[Harp.1]

I’m over here in south Louisiana watching gulf low after gulf low on the GFS. Perfect scenario for us to get wintry precipitation. There is only one thing missing….

[captainbarbossa19]

Hey everyone! It has been a while, but I am back! The fall semester is over and I am officially 3 semesters away from earning my bachelor's degree in meteorology now! Glad to see that the weather pattern has finally become more progressive for the South. The drought was absolutely horrible for areas around Jackson earlier this semester.

[bubba hotep]

Hey everyone! It has been a while, but I am back! The fall semester is over and I am officially 3 semesters away from earning my bachelor's degree in meteorology now! Glad to see that the weather pattern has finally become more progressive for the South. The drought was absolutely horrible for areas around Jackson earlier this semester.

That's awesome!

[gpsnowman]

Hey everyone! It has been a while, but I am back! The fall semester is over and I am officially 3 semesters away from earning my bachelor's degree in meteorology now! Glad to see that the weather pattern has finally become more progressive for the South. The drought was absolutely horrible for areas around Jackson earlier this semester.

Well done!! Always a joy to see the younger posters on here follow their passions to become pro mets!! Good luck to you and enjoy the next year and a half.

[Brent]

I’m over here in south Louisiana watching gulf low after gulf low on the GFS. Perfect scenario for us to get wintry precipitation. There is only one thing missing….

It's crazy watching all these storms with no cold air tbh

Hopefully in January at some point things will be different

[Cpv17]

I’m over here in south Louisiana watching gulf low after gulf low on the GFS. Perfect scenario for us to get wintry precipitation. There is only one thing missing….

It's crazy watching all these storms with no cold air tbh

Hopefully in January at some point things will be different

Need to get some blocking going over Alaska.

[Harp.1]

I’m over here in south Louisiana watching gulf low after gulf low on the GFS. Perfect scenario for us to get wintry precipitation. There is only one thing missing….

It's crazy watching all these storms with no cold air tbh

Hopefully in January at some point things will be different

Need to get some blocking going over Alaska.

I thought things were looking up?

[Brent]

It's crazy watching all these storms with no cold air tbh

Hopefully in January at some point things will be different

Need to get some blocking going over Alaska.

I thought things were looking up?

I still think they are it's just probably gonna be January. It definitely looks like a more typical El Nino pattern by then

[Ntxw]

Snow cover across the lower 48 is pretty paltry. Granted mid-December can be variable.





2009 to date.



2013



last year 2022. We were getting ready for a modeled big cold blast en route.

[Stratton23]

Jeez thays an absolutely atrocious snow pack across the US

[Cpv17]

Jeez thays an absolutely atrocious snow pack across the US

I’m not gonna sit here and say I know what the snowpack has looked like at this date every year prior to this but I can’t imagine it gets much worse than this.