Texas Winter 2023-2024

[mmmmsnouts]

Playoff game KC tonight temp -6 wc -23

I don't get it. Frostbite kicks in pretty quickly at that temp....

I would be very concerned if I were there.

Saw a video where someone working a concession stand took a bottle of water out of the “refrigerator” and it froze solid in about 10 seconds.

 https://twitter.com/FloNoFro/status/1746316152203084201

[snownado]

Is there a thick warm layer above the cold air? Every met has freezing drizzle for DFW even though temps will be well into the 20s

"Thick" isn't the word I would use.

But yes, as is typical with these shallow arctic airmasses, ther will often be an above-freezing layer of air somewhere aloft.

[HockeyTx82]

Playoff game KC tonight temp -6 wc -23

I don't get it. Frostbite kicks in pretty quickly at that temp....

I would be very concerned if I were there.

Saw a video where someone working a concession stand took a bottle of water out of the “refrigerator” and it froze solid in about 10 seconds.

https://twitter.com/FloNoFro/status/1746316152203084201?t=2sJ4mcDz_djlI3sqVqLkPg&s=19

That happened to me in New Mexico as a kid. I found a water bottle underneath the seat of my car, from when we were down in Texas it had not frozen. I opened it up and this exact same thing happened, but it was like twenty below up in the mountains.

[Brent]

I bet tomorrow will be more active once the precip is the main focus. We all knew the cold was coming. Could be people taking a weather break before it gets interesting tomorrow.

Theres so much uncertainty up here with how much snow do we lose to the dry air. Nobody has a clue but most are along the same lines in agreement(1-2 inches) but there's room for a surprise for sure especially with the high ratios and the fact its gonna be 6-7 degrees. It's just what else can you say right now... There's only so many model runs

It's a very odd setup up here for sure

[Gotwood]

I don’t really follow closely or watch his videos, nor have I model chased today at all today to see if there is new data yet, but Texas Storm Chasers just posted this if anyone is interested:

Working on an update video now regarding INCREASING ice chances/coverage late Sunday afternoon into Monday. Will have it up by 9PM and share it here.

~David Baldy-in-Chief

Of course he could be talking anywhere in the state.

Nam is showing increased coverage and accumulation. A lot more QPF in the state. I have a feeling there is going to be a ton of freezing drizzle can’t imagine what that looks like with temps in the teens. Very surprised people here are quite.

I don't know. QPF looks about the same or maybe a little less than 18z overall. Maybe some more QPF across SE TX, but there weren't any obvious trends from 12z today to 00z.

Yeah I was speaking in terms to models showing literally 0 QPF for the majority of the state in the past few days.

[Harp.1]

It’s going to be nowcasting time soon.

[Ralph's Weather]

During most of the event my area along I-20 in East Texas will have a classic dendritic growth zone at around 500mb but a large dry and warm zone centered on 700mb then saturation but warm at 850mb with temps sharply falling from 850mb to the surface with full saturation. So low and warm cloud deck and precip freezing as it falls equals freezing drizzle when rates are low and sleet when rates are higher. Some snow as the cloud deck cools towards tomorrow morning. QPF here seems between 0.15-0.35" which should be around 1" of mixed accumulation. Precip starts late morning tomorrow and lasts until midday Monday.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

During most of the event my area along I-20 in East Texas will have a classic dendritic growth zone at around 500mb but a large dry and warm zone centered on 700mb then saturation but warm at 850mb with temps sharply falling from 850mb to the surface with full saturation. So low and warm cloud deck and precip freezing as it falls equals freezing drizzle when rates are low and sleet when rates are higher. Some snow as the cloud deck cools towards tomorrow morning. QPF here seems between 0.15-0.35" which should be around 1" of mixed accumulation. Precip starts late morning tomorrow and lasts until midday Monday.

Parents in Longview aren’t enthused at wrapping the Palms around the pool.

Y’all look primed for some heavy sleet.

[Ralph's Weather]

Parents in Longview aren’t enthused at wrapping the Palms around the pool.

Y’all look primed for some heavy sleet.

What do you think is a reasonable range of outcomes around here? I am thinking a max around 2" of mix if rates are higher and more snow than expected falls. 0.5-1" of mix sounds most reasonable.

[Texas Snow]

Just a quick glance upon latest models looks like less QPF overall. Not sure what the hype was. Like stated above, after some early morning model glances tomorrow, it switches to now-casting.

Edit: Not in reply to Ralph’s post

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Parents in Longview aren’t enthused at wrapping the Palms around the pool.

Y’all look primed for some heavy sleet.

What do you think is a reasonable range of outcomes around here? I am thinking a max around 2" of mix if rates are higher and more snow than expected falls. 0.5-1" of mix sounds most reasonable.

2 is max and that doesn’t seem likely. One inch of sleet seems likely with some freezing rain mixed in.

Y’all could see a quick burst of snow but the ratios don’t look impressive.

[Yukon Cornelius]

In the negative wind chills up here now.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Just a quick glance upon latest models looks like less QPF overall. Not sure what the hype was. Like stated above, after some early morning model glances tomorrow, it switches to now-casting.

Edit: Not in reply to Ralph’s post

Heaviest precip on mesos look suppressed to the south, but these things surprise.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

In the negative wind chills up here now.

53 here and waiting

[Yukon Cornelius]

In the negative wind chills up here now.

53 here and waiting

Crazy. N and S Texas are like worlds apart. The last time looked at the weather station it was 10 here. I assumed the front would have been down that way by now.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

In the negative wind chills up here now.

53 here and waiting

Crazy. N and S Texas are like worlds apart. The last time looked at the weather station it was 10 here. I assumed the front would have been down that way by now.

I consider you Oklahoma, haha.

[Ralph's Weather]

28 here now with wind chill around 20. For now its wait and see really until precip breaks out mid to late morning. Looking like around 24 hours of precip chances and maybe longer if have some lift for Monday afternoon flurries. Even if it were to be 24 hours of freezing drizzle that would be ugly, but I think there will be bands of moderate sleet at times.

[Brent]

In the negative wind chills up here now.

Yup and we may stay there all day tomorrow crazy how different it is up here

[Iceresistance]

11 PM

5°F with a WC of -11°F

[Yukon Cornelius]

53 here and waiting

Crazy. N and S Texas are like worlds apart. The last time looked at the weather station it was 10 here. I assumed the front would have been down that way by now.

I consider you Oklahoma, haha.

Don’t insult a fellow Texan like that!