Texas Winter 2023-2024

Winter Weather Discussion

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3341 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 23, 2024 6:04 pm

This fog is something else already
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3342 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 23, 2024 6:43 pm

Some cold risk showing back up in the ensembles as early as Feb 5-7. Then, the EPS and Weeklies look to support a -AO/NAO pattern through the remainder of the month. Also, the Southern Plains looks to be more active than in January, so there should be some better systems to try and take advantage of the cold air. As always, timing will be everything :D
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3343 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 23, 2024 6:46 pm

Im actually curious, and. i may be totally wrong about this, but why does it seem like the last few winters here in texas, that janaury ends up being a dead month, and for whatever reason its like the light switches in february, kind of odd to me, maybe its just me thas noticed that
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3344 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Jan 23, 2024 6:48 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Im actually curious, and. i may be totally wrong about this, but why does it seem like the last few winters here in texas, that janaury ends up being a dead month, and for whatever reason its like the light switches in february, kind of odd to me, maybe its just me thas noticed that


East Coast Ridge in February.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3345 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 23, 2024 7:27 pm

Brent wrote:This fog is something else already

Yeah down here as well. Last I saw, .3 mile visibility at the big airport.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3346 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Jan 23, 2024 7:34 pm

Almost an inch so finally got some decent rain today.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3347 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 23, 2024 7:47 pm

Another .27” here today bringing my total up to 3.49”.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3348 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 23, 2024 7:54 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Im actually curious, and. i may be totally wrong about this, but why does it seem like the last few winters here in texas, that janaury ends up being a dead month, and for whatever reason its like the light switches in february, kind of odd to me, maybe its just me thas noticed that


I was always told that when I lived in DFW too and even my first winter here in Tulsa nothing major happened til February and then there was still the biggest snowstorm I've seen here as soon as the month started :lol:

My friend down there always said it was because January was usually a dry month with the flow or whatever

Which I think DFW measuring an inch or whatever last week was the biggest January storm since the 80s so maybe he had a point :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3349 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 23, 2024 8:35 pm

Yeah, January has been a pretty boring month around here for as long as I can remember.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3350 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 23, 2024 9:03 pm

Prior to the 1990s January was often one of the best month for ice and snow. But after in the 2000s-on it's been February with the higher number of events.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3351 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 23, 2024 11:59 pm

OP 00z GFS showing some big changes in the 500 mb pattern as we head towards the first week of february
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3352 Postby Harp.1 » Wed Jan 24, 2024 12:04 am

Stratton23 wrote:OP 00z GFS showing some big changes in the 500 mb pattern as we head towards the first week of february

I haven’t looked at it yet.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3353 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed Jan 24, 2024 1:41 am

Ntxw wrote:Prior to the 1990s January was often one of the best month for ice and snow. But after in the 2000s-on it's been February with the higher number of events.


It's like some kind of climate shift is happening. We didn't used to get such hot weather until October, either but here we are.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3354 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Jan 24, 2024 7:53 am

Another round of beautiful liquid gold this morning across much of south Texas! SA picked up another 1-2 inches, and we could have another round tonight! This slow-moving storm system has been just what the doctor ordered :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3355 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Jan 24, 2024 8:10 am

Ntxw wrote:Prior to the 1990s January was often one of the best month for ice and snow. But after in the 2000s-on it's been February with the higher number of events.


Wonder if it has to do with the lack of Arctic sea Ice in Jan.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3356 Postby cstrunk » Wed Jan 24, 2024 8:43 am

2.29" Monday, 3.68" yesterday, and 0.48" so far today. I've got a 6.45" total in a little over two days.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3357 Postby Tejas89 » Wed Jan 24, 2024 9:03 am

January is our driest month, climatologically for DFW. Extreme weather and snowfall has been more common in February historically, and I remember December was similar growing up.

Winter is getting shorter though. December looks and feels like November used to. Including the leaves changing and weather. This past December was +5* just a recent example and we’ve had some other record breakers in recent years.

I won’t bring up our recent summers lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3358 Postby Edwards Limestone » Wed Jan 24, 2024 9:49 am

Can someone explain the synoptic setup that is bringing the rain to central and SE Texas the last few days? Is it just the Pacific jet getting kicked up? How large of a role does Gulf moisture play in a setup like this?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3359 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Jan 24, 2024 9:55 am

Edwards Limestone wrote:Can someone explain the synoptic setup that is bringing the rain to central and SE Texas the last few days? Is it just the Pacific jet getting kicked up? How large of a role does Gulf moisture play in a setup like this?


A slow-moving trough of low pressure over Mexico and the SW US. It keeps kicking shortwaves out across TX which is producing several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Plentiful Gulf and Pacific moisture combined with the slow movement of the storm system are leading to the heavy rainfall that we've been seeing.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3360 Postby Edwards Limestone » Wed Jan 24, 2024 10:23 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:Can someone explain the synoptic setup that is bringing the rain to central and SE Texas the last few days? Is it just the Pacific jet getting kicked up? How large of a role does Gulf moisture play in a setup like this?


A slow-moving trough of low pressure over Mexico and the SW US. It keeps kicking shortwaves out across TX which is producing several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Plentiful Gulf and Pacific moisture combined with the slow movement of the storm system are leading to the heavy rainfall that we've been seeing.


Thank you sir! We absolutely love to see it.
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