orangeblood wrote:Brent wrote:Ptarmigan wrote:
I do not put a lot of stock into long term forecasts. Things can change.
Aren't these the same long term forecasts that said winter would come back the end of February too
I don't think anyone has a clue after the way this winter has been tbh
No doubt, the more you follow long range forecasting closely the more you realize how much of a casino game of chance it is! Literal coin flip beyond a 2 week forecast...50% chance of above or below normal precip and temp. I appreciate long range forecasters who are bold enough to put their forecasts out there but unfortunately with the shear volume of massive unknowns in the climate world as you get further out in time, will likely have more egg on their face over time than not!
7-14 day forecasts are where the good pro mets can really add value IMO!
So very true. May as well go to a casino and gamble.