When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
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When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
State the date and name of storm
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
I'm thinking July
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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ElectricStorm
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
August 28th, Francine
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
ElectricStorm wrote:August 28th, Francine
That late?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
Aug 5-10 range, Ernesto. Long tracked fish.
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tolakram
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
August 10th, Debby (4th name). I'm really hesitant to predict an August major even though this looks like an extreme year, we will see.
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
tolakram wrote:I'm really hesitant to predict an August major
Franklin and Idalia: -breathes-
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Aug 5-10 range, Ernesto. Long tracked fish.
What category
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:ElectricStorm wrote:August 28th, Francine
That late?
Yes. It's pretty hard to get a major before Aug 20 in most years, and I think that will continue this year. I do think we'll see a couple Cat 1-2's before then though
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
ElectricStorm wrote:DioBrando wrote:ElectricStorm wrote:August 28th, Francine
That late?
Yes. It's pretty hard to get a major before Aug 20 in most years, and I think that will continue this year. I do think we'll see a couple Cat 1-2's before then though
What makes you think francine particularly
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Aug 5-10 range, Ernesto. Long tracked fish.
What category
Cat 3, 105kt I guess.
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:DioBrando wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Aug 5-10 range, Ernesto. Long tracked fish.
What category
Cat 3, 105kt I guess.
what analog?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:DioBrando wrote:What category
Cat 3, 105kt I guess.
what analog?
Something like Eduoard 2014, maybe.
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Please note the thougths expressed by this account are solely those of the user and are from a hobbyist perspective. For more comprehensive analysis, consult an actual professional meteorologist or meteorology agency.
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:DioBrando wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Cat 3, 105kt I guess.
what analog?
Something like Eduoard 2014, maybe.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c8/Edouard_2014_path.png
Lifespan?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:I'm thinking July
ernesto/c3/july tbh
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:DioBrando wrote:I'm thinking July
ernesto/c3/july tbh
I also think Ernesto but I’d up him to a Cat 4 on August 23rd. The waters are warm but climatology will ensure we experience the July to mid-August doldrums and “canceled season” posts.
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I'm not a meteorologist, but I did stay at a motel 8.
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
CFLHurricane wrote:DioBrando wrote:DioBrando wrote:I'm thinking July
ernesto/c3/july tbh
I also think Ernesto but I’d up him to a Cat 4 on August 23rd. The waters are warm but climatology will ensure we experience the July to mid-August doldrums and “canceled season” posts.
Do you think July-mid-August would be like 2020?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
DioBrando wrote:CFLHurricane wrote:DioBrando wrote:ernesto/c3/july tbh
I also think Ernesto but I’d up him to a Cat 4 on August 23rd. The waters are warm but climatology will ensure we experience the July to mid-August doldrums and “canceled season” posts.
Do you think July-mid-August would be like 2020?
I’m thinking even less active since 2020 had consistent storm production all summer. But I guess a lot is weighing on how where the Azores high settles and how much Saharan dust gets kicked up this year.
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I'm not a meteorologist, but I did stay at a motel 8.
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
CFLHurricane wrote:DioBrando wrote:CFLHurricane wrote:
I also think Ernesto but I’d up him to a Cat 4 on August 23rd. The waters are warm but climatology will ensure we experience the July to mid-August doldrums and “canceled season” posts.
Do you think July-mid-August would be like 2020?
I’m thinking even less active since 2020 had consistent storm production all summer. But I guess a lot is weighing on how where the Azores high settles and how much Saharan dust gets kicked up this year.
2022 tier?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Re: When do you think 2024 would have its first MH in the Atlantic?
bumping for ernesto
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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