SIO: HIDAYA - Remnants

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

STRONG TROPICAL STORM number 10

(HIDAYA)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 110 km/h.

Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 155 km/h.

Estimated pressure at center: 985 hPa.

Position on May 4 at 4 a.m. local time: 7.9 South / 40.6 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2145 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 750 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Travel: WEST, at 13 km/h.

System information:

- HIDAYA is still remaining at the end of the night, at the stage of a strong tropical storm. It is located less than 150 km from the Tanzanian coast (less than 100 km from Mafia Island) and continues to move towards the west-northwest while maintaining a compact structure (strongest winds in a radius less than 50 to 100 km around the center).

- Despite a significant weakening expected in the coming hours, HIDAYA remains a threatening phenomenon for Tanzania and of record intensity for this area of ​​the basin (the most intense ever observed northwest of 10°S/45°E). It could land or circulate in the immediate vicinity of the coast of Tanzania this afternoon at the stage of moderate tropical storm, which is a very rare event for the area. It should then dissipate during the night from Saturday to Sunday.

- Over the next few hours, the weather will continue to deteriorate on the Tanzanian coast, mainly affecting the area between Dar Es Salaam and Mtwara, with in particular a risk of very intense rains which could cause flooding. Strong winds and dangerous seas are also expected locally on the coastal fringe of the Pwani region (including Mafia Island). A probable improvement should appear on Sunday morning. Residents are invited to keep informed of the evolution of the forecasts and to comply with the instructions of local authorities.

[cycloneye]

About to make landfall in Tanzanía.

[cycloneye]

STRONG TROPICAL STORM number 10

(HIDAYA)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 95 km/h.

Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 130 km/h.

Estimated pressure at center: 993 hPa.

Position on May 4 at 10 a.m. local: 7.4 South / 40.0 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2225 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 830 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 13 km/h.

System information:

- HIDAYA shows signs of rapid weakening this morning. However, it is still a system estimated at the stage of a strong tropical storm. Its center is located this morning about 20 km north of Mafia Island and about 60 km from the nearest Tanzanian coast (100 km east-southeast of the city of Dar Es Salam)

- This storm is still expected to land or circulate in the immediate vicinity of the coast of Tanzania this afternoon at the moderate tropical storm stage, which is a very rare event for the area. It should then dissipate during the night from Saturday to Sunday.

- Over the next few hours, the weather will continue to deteriorate on the Tanzanian coast, mainly affecting the area between Dar Es Salaam and Mtwara, with in particular a risk of very intense rains which could cause flooding. Strong winds and dangerous seas affect the coastal fringe of the Pwani region (including Mafia Island). A probable improvement should appear by Sunday morning at the latest. Residents are invited to keep informed of the evolution of the forecasts and to comply with the instructions of local authorities.

[cycloneye]

Made landfall in Tanzania. This is the last warning.

FILLING DEPRESSION number 10

(HIDAYA)

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 55 km/h.

Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 75 km/h.

Estimated pressure at center: 1007 hPa.

Position on May 4 at 4 p.m. local time: 7.5 South / 39.5 East.

Distance from the Reunion coast: 2260 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Distance from Mayotte: 860 km to sector: NORTH-WEST

Movement: WEST-NORTH-WEST, at 11 km/h.

System information:

- In a phase of rapid weakening, HIDAYA has largely filled in today during its final approach to the Tanzanian coast.

- The residual center, in the process of advanced dissipation, is located along the coast southeast of the city of Dar Es Salam. It is expected to fill permanently on land over the next few hours.

- HIDAYA will again cause heavy rains this evening in the southern half of Tanzania, mainly along the coasts but also inland, maintaining a risk of flooding. Residents are invited to comply with the instructions of local authorities.

- This bulletin is the last issued by the CMRS Cyclone de La Réunion for monitoring this system.

[Hurricane2022]

Hidaya was only the third tropical cyclone in recorded history to make landfall in Tanzania, the others being Tropical Depression Atang in 2002 and a cyclone in 1952.